Arda vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Arda presents significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3-1-1 and 2 points per match, while Spartak Varna has not won any of their last five meetings, earning just 0.6 points per match. The hosts possess a clear advantage in offensive parameters – averaging 14.09 shots and 4 shots on target per match at home versus just 6.73 shots and 1.64 on target for the guests away. Arda controls the game with 57% possession in home matches and generates xG at a level of 1.69, which significantly exceeds Spartak's 0.89 xG on the road. Spartak Varna has very poor away efficiency with only 9% wins and as many as 64% draws, suggesting a defensive mindset, though their average of 1 goal conceded per away match and negative goal difference (-4) indicate defensive vulnerability. Taking all parameters into account, Arda has a clear advantage, although Spartak's tendency to draw and the hosts' modest home efficiency (27% wins) increase the probability of shared points.
Arda vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arda played against Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Arda has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Spartak Varna has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Arda scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.05. Spartak Varna scores 0.95 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Arda's games and 64% of Spartak Varna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 45%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arda has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.07 per game. Arda takes 11.8 shots per game, while Spartak Varna takes 8.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Arda leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Spartak Varna leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arda's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Spartak Varna, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arda presents significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3-1-1 and 2 points per match, while Spartak Varna has not won any of their last five meetings, earning just 0.6 points per match. The hosts possess a clear advantage in offensive parameters – averaging 14.09 shots and 4 shots on target per match at home versus just 6.73 shots and 1.64 on target for the guests away. Arda controls the game with 57% possession in home matches and generates xG at a level of 1.69, which significantly exceeds Spartak's 0.89 xG on the road. Spartak Varna has very poor away efficiency with only 9% wins and as many as 64% draws, suggesting a defensive mindset, though their average of 1 goal conceded per away match and negative goal difference (-4) indicate defensive vulnerability. Taking all parameters into account, Arda has a clear advantage, although Spartak's tendency to draw and the hosts' modest home efficiency (27% wins) increase the probability of shared points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arda | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arda is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Arda · 0.6 pts / game - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arda is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Arda · 0.95 goals / game - Spartak Varna
Arda is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - Arda · 1.5 goals / game - Spartak Varna
Arda scores in 50% of games (11 of 22 meczów), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Spartak Varna scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arda
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arda is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Arda · 1.05 pts / game - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arda
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Arda | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.09 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 47% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Arda's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Spartak Varna. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arda vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Arda 1:0 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Spartak Varna?
Arda score 1.05 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.95. The First League average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Arda's matches and 64% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Arda and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Arda have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Spartak Varna 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Spartak Varna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arda vs Spartak Varna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.