Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics
Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arema play Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 28 April 2026 at 10:30. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Arema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Persebaya Surabaya: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arema scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.79 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arema 65%, Persebaya Surabaya 50%. Over 2.5: Arema 62%, Persebaya Surabaya 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Persebaya Surabaya has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.46. Arema: 12.2 shots per match, Persebaya Surabaya: 12.3.
Match halves
Arema: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00. Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.24.
Goals by minute
Arema: 76-90+ (17 goals). Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Arema has a clear home advantage: at home they score on average 1.71 goals per match and concede 1.43, with 51% possession and 4.43 shots on target per game; Persebaya away averages 1.14 goals scored, 1.21 conceded and 2.93 shots on target. Average xG confirms the difference in chance quality: Arema generates 1.48 xG at home with 1.33 xG against, while Persebaya on the road records 1.13 xG and concedes 1.73 xG. In the last five matches Arema scored 5 and conceded 3, averaging 1.6 points per game, whereas Persebaya also scored 5 but conceded 10 and averages 1.2 points per game, revealing clear defensive issues for the visitors. Additionally, the home side failed to score in only 7% of home matches, while the visitors were goalless in 21% of away games; shot conversion for the hosts is 14% versus 12% for Persebaya, which favors Arema. Although Persebaya occupy a higher league position (6th vs 10th), based on the above statistics I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arema | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persebaya Surabaya is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Arema · 2.6 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Arema · 1.79 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Persebaya Surabaya is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Arema · 1.03 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Arema scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arema
Over / Under — Persebaya Surabaya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +16 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arema
Persebaya Surabaya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Arema | Liga | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.80 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arema 0 - 1 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The Liga 1 match finished Arema 0:4 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Arema score 1.56 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.79. The Liga 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Arema's matches and 50% of Persebaya Surabaya's.
What form are Arema and Persebaya Surabaya in?
Over the last 5 games Arema have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.