Arezzo vs Ascoli: match statistics
Arezzo vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arezzo played against Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 30, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Arezzo has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ascoli has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Arezzo scores 1.74 goals per game and allows 0.65. Ascoli scores 1.77 and allows 0.65. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Arezzo's games and 39% of Ascoli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 45%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arezzo has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.63 per game. Arezzo takes 14.5 shots per game, while Ascoli takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Arezzo leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Ascoli leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arezzo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Ascoli, it is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli carries clearer momentum (5 wins in last 5, 12 goals in last 5) and a higher shot conversion rate, suggesting superior attacking efficiency. The visitors also show higher possession and steady away results, with PPG 3 in the last 5. Arezzo have a strong home record (67% wins, 0.73 avg goals conceded/home and high clean sheet share), providing solid defense and home edge. However, the form and attacking efficiency gap currently favor Ascoli, although a balanced match and possible draw are expected. I lean to a narrow away win with moderate risk of a draw or home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors 'no' due to Arezzo’s very high clean sheet rate this season (CS% 63%) and low home seasonal BTTS (31%), suggesting many matches with one team failing to score. The league has a high CS rate (59%) and moderate goals avg 2.28, which supports No Goal outcomes. Ascoli shows strong recent attacking form (5 wins, 12 goals in last 5), but xG and seasonal averages are moderate (xG_for 1.53 vs 1.73 for Arezzo), limiting BTTS confidence. Although Arezzo’s last 5 home matches show rising BTTS, Arezzo’s long-term defensive stability and the league tendency to clean sheets make the 'no' signal stronger. Recommendation: BTTS: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis indicate a match with elevated chance of scoring opportunities: average xG both sides (1.73 vs 1.53) combined with acceptable conversion rates imply an expected total ~2.74 goals. Arezzo shows strong defense (63% CS) but Ascoli is in excellent form (last 5 wins) and consistently creates chances, balancing goal prospects. Seasonal Over/Under stats show high Over 1.5 probability (69%/67% home/away) and moderate for Over 2.5, matching proposed probabilities. BTTS is moderate, so much of the Over 1.5 probability stems from shared xG and chance creation rather than one-sided dominance. Strongest signal: Over 1.5, hence recommend backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows Arezzo often leads at HT (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 50%) and maintains solid defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.5, seasonCSPercentage_home 63%), which favors a home lead and full-time victory. Arezzo has higher average scoring and an HT advantage (HTPPG_home 1.94 vs HTPPG_away 1.53) and a significant number of first-half goals (GoalsHT_home 20), increasing the probability of leading at the break. Ascoli’s good last-5 form makes a draw or turnaround possible, so moderate probabilities apply to draws and comebacks. Overall the strongest signal is 1/1 (Arezzo leading at HT and winning FT) due to their statistical HT dominance and solid FT defense.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arezzo | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ascoli is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Arezzo · 3 pts / game - Ascoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arezzo scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 meczów), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 meczów).
Ascoli scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Arezzo keeps a clean sheet in 55% (17 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arezzo
Over / Under - Ascoli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Arezzo · 1.74 pts / game - Ascoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arezzo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arezzo
Ascoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Arezzo | Liga | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.39 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 30% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Arezzo's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ascoli. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arezzo vs Ascoli?
The Serie C Group B match finished Arezzo 1:2 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Arezzo score 1.74 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.77. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arezzo's matches and 39% of Ascoli's.
What form are Arezzo and Ascoli in?
Over the last 5 games Arezzo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ascoli 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
The statistical background for Arezzo vs Ascoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.