Aris vs Paphos: match statistics
Aris displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate and a +18 goal difference at their stadium, scoring an average of 2.55 goals per match. The hosts keep clean sheets in 55% of their home games and hold an xG advantage (2.01 vs 0.9), indicating dominance in home matches. Paphos, despite a solid league position, shows weaker away form with only a 55% win rate and an average of 1.55 goals per match on the road. The recent form of both teams is contrasting - Aris is going through a crisis (0 wins in their last 5 matches), while Paphos averages 2 points per match in the same period. The key factor is Aris' home advantage, where they historically perform significantly better. This, combined with their higher xG and average possession (56% vs 54%), gives them the edge, despite their poorer overall recent form.
Aris vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aris play Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Aris: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Paphos: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aris scores 1.69 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Paphos scores 1.83 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aris 47%, Paphos 47%. Over 2.5: Aris 58%, Paphos 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.50. Aris: 13.0 shots per match, Paphos: 11.6.
Match halves
Aris: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.03. Paphos: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Aris: 76-90+ (20 goals). Paphos: 76-90+ (25 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Aris displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate and a +18 goal difference at their stadium, scoring an average of 2.55 goals per match. The hosts keep clean sheets in 55% of their home games and hold an xG advantage (2.01 vs 0.9), indicating dominance in home matches. Paphos, despite a solid league position, shows weaker away form with only a 55% win rate and an average of 1.55 goals per match on the road. The recent form of both teams is contrasting - Aris is going through a crisis (0 wins in their last 5 matches), while Paphos averages 2 points per match in the same period. The key factor is Aris' home advantage, where they historically perform significantly better. This, combined with their higher xG and average possession (56% vs 54%), gives them the edge, despite their poorer overall recent form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aris | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Aris · 1.4 pts / match - Paphos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Aris · 1.83 goals / match - Paphos
Paphos is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Aris · 1.06 goals / match - Paphos
Aris scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
Paphos scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aris
Over / Under — Paphos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Aris · 1.78 pts / match - Paphos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aris
Paphos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Aris | Liga | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 43% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aris 0 - 1 - 2 Paphos. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aris vs Paphos?
The First Division match finished Aris 2:2 Paphos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aris and Paphos?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aris won 0, Paphos won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs Paphos?
Aris score 1.69 goals per game on average and Paphos 1.83. The First Division average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Aris's matches and 47% of Paphos's.
What form are Aris and Paphos in?
Over the last 5 games Aris have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Paphos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs Paphos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.