Aris vs Paphos: match statistics
Aris displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate and a +18 goal difference at their stadium, scoring an average of 2.55 goals per match. The hosts keep clean sheets in 55% of their home games and hold an xG advantage (2.01 vs 0.9), indicating dominance in home matches. Paphos, despite a solid league position, shows weaker away form with only a 55% win rate and an average of 1.55 goals per match on the road. The recent form of both teams is contrasting - Aris is going through a crisis (0 wins in their last 5 matches), while Paphos averages 2 points per match in the same period. The key factor is Aris' home advantage, where they historically perform significantly better. This, combined with their higher xG and average possession (56% vs 54%), gives them the edge, despite their poorer overall recent form.
Aris vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aris played against Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Aris has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Paphos has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Aris scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 0.96. Paphos scores 1.74 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Aris's games and 43% of Paphos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 52%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aris has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.44 per game. Aris takes 12.9 shots per game, while Paphos takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Aris leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Paphos leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aris's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Paphos, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aris displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate and a +18 goal difference at their stadium, scoring an average of 2.55 goals per match. The hosts keep clean sheets in 55% of their home games and hold an xG advantage (2.01 vs 0.9), indicating dominance in home matches. Paphos, despite a solid league position, shows weaker away form with only a 55% win rate and an average of 1.55 goals per match on the road. The recent form of both teams is contrasting - Aris is going through a crisis (0 wins in their last 5 matches), while Paphos averages 2 points per match in the same period. The key factor is Aris' home advantage, where they historically perform significantly better. This, combined with their higher xG and average possession (56% vs 54%), gives them the edge, despite their poorer overall recent form.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aris | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paphos is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Aris · 1.4 pts / game - Paphos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aris scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Paphos scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aris
Over / Under - Paphos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Aris · 1.96 pts / game - Paphos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aris - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aris
Paphos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Aris | Liga | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.74 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 34% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Aris's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Paphos. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aris vs Paphos?
The First Division match finished Aris 2:2 Paphos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs Paphos?
Aris score 1.78 goals per game on average and Paphos 1.74. The First Division average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Aris's matches and 43% of Paphos's.
What form are Aris and Paphos in?
Over the last 5 games Aris have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Paphos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs Paphos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.