Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Białystok: match statistics
Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Białystok: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arka Gdynia play Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Arka Gdynia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Jagiellonia Białystok: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arka Gdynia scores 1.00 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.65 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arka Gdynia 50%, Jagiellonia Białystok 65%. Over 2.5: Arka Gdynia 62%, Jagiellonia Białystok 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Jagiellonia Białystok has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.27. Arka Gdynia: 10.6 shots per match, Jagiellonia Białystok: 15.2.
Match halves
Arka Gdynia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.59. Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Arka Gdynia: 46-60 (10 goals). Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Arka scores an average of 1.57 goals per home match and wins 57% of home games, while Jagiellonia averages only 1.07 goals away and has a 29% away win rate. In the last 5 matches Arka scored 8 goals and averages 1.6 points per game in that period, whereas Jagiellonia scored 5 goals and 1.0 point, indicating better form for the home side. The visitors generate more chances (on average 13.21 shots and 4.5 shots on target away with xG 1.58), but their conversion rate is only 8% and with xG 1.58 they average 1.07 goals per match, while Arka at home has xG 1.32 and actually scores 1.57 with a 15% conversion. Considering Arka’s higher efficiency at home, superior recent five-match record and lower FTS% (14% vs 29% for the visitors), I assign 55% to the home win, 25% to the draw and 20% to the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Arka Gdynia · 2 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Arka Gdynia · 1.65 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Arka Gdynia · 1.21 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Arka Gdynia scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arka Gdynia
Over / Under — Jagiellonia Białystok
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Arka Gdynia · 1.47 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia Białystok
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Arka Gdynia | Liga | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.79 | 2.74 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 - 1 Jagiellonia Białystok. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Arka Gdynia 0:3 Jagiellonia Białystok. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Arka Gdynia score 1.00 goals per game on average and Jagiellonia Białystok 1.65. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Arka Gdynia's matches and 65% of Jagiellonia Białystok's.
What form are Arka Gdynia and Jagiellonia Białystok in?
Over the last 5 games Arka Gdynia have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.