Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa: match statistics
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arka Gdynia played against Polonia Warszawa in 1. Liga (Poland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Arka Gdynia has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Polonia Warszawa has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Arka Gdynia scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.22. Polonia Warszawa scores 1.67 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Arka Gdynia's games and 67% of Polonia Warszawa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 56%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polonia Warszawa has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.39 per game. Arka Gdynia takes 12.0 shots per game, while Polonia Warszawa takes 16.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Arka Gdynia leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Polonia Warszawa leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arka Gdynia's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Polonia Warszawa, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arka Gdynia are favorites primarily because of their home form: across 4 such matches, they have recorded 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 2.25 goals and conceding just 0.5. Polonia Warszawa do sit higher in the table, in 6th place compared with 12th, but they average 1.25 goals away from home and have lost 2 of their 4 away matches. The hosts are also more clinical in front of goal: in home matches, they average 5 shots on target with a 19% shot conversion rate, while the visitors average 3.25 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate away from home. The gap in the quality of chances created is smaller, with Arka's home xG at 1.59 and Polonia's away xG at 1.36; Polonia also allow chances with a lower xG value, 1.14 compared with Arka's 1.47. This tempers confidence in the pick, but Arka's finishing and home record to date point towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Arka have recorded BTTS in 80% of their home matches, while Polonia have done so in 50% of their away games; across the last 5 matches for both teams, the rate was 60%. The hosts score an average of 2.0 goals at home and have yet to fail to score in any such match, making a goal from them likely. Polonia average 1.25 goals away from home, while Arka concede 1.6 at home, giving the visitors a genuine chance to respond. In addition, over their last 5 matches, the teams conceded an average of 1.4 and 1.6 goals respectively, although the fact that Polonia failed to score in 25% of their away games remains a risk for the BTTS - Yes pick. Nevertheless, the attacking figures and the frequency of goals at both ends point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this total was reached in every Arka match in the sample, although it occurred in 50% of Polonia’s matches. Arka scores an average of 2.0 goals, with an xG of 2.16; it also averages 6.6 shots on target per match, supporting its contribution to the goal tally. Polonia scores an average of 1.25 goals, while Arka concedes 1.6, making an away goal a realistic prospect as well. In the last five matches for both teams, 60% ended with at least three goals, but the more cautious Over 1.5 line offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Arka were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches and averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time. A later home win is supported by a clear edge in chance creation: Arka’s average xG is 2.16 compared with Polonia’s 1.36, while their shots on target total 6.6 against 3.25. Arka average 1.6 goals after the break at home, giving them the potential to settle a closely contested match in the second half. However, this is not a risk-free selection, as Polonia have won 75% of their second halves away from home and conceded an average of just 0.25 goals in them. Despite the visitors’ solid performances after the break, the combination of Arka’s frequent half-time draws and greater attacking strength gives the X/1 scenario the highest individual probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arka Gdynia | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Polonia Warszawa is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.4 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Warszawa is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.67 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.33 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
Polonia Warszawa scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arka Gdynia
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arka Gdynia is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.11 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Arka Gdynia | Liga | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.44 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
The 1. Liga match finished Arka Gdynia 1:2 Polonia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Arka Gdynia score 1.22 goals per game on average and Polonia Warszawa 1.67. The 1. Liga average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Arka Gdynia's matches and 67% of Polonia Warszawa's.
What form are Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Arka Gdynia have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Polonia Warszawa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.