Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin: match statistics
Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arka Gdynia played against Zagłębie Lubin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on April 7, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Arka Gdynia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Zagłębie Lubin has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Arka Gdynia scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 1.69. Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.54 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Arka Gdynia's games and 54% of Zagłębie Lubin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Zagłębie Lubin has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.26 per game. Arka Gdynia takes 10.3 shots per game, while Zagłębie Lubin takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Arka Gdynia leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Zagłębie Lubin leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arka Gdynia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Zagłębie Lubin, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (Zagłębie Lubin) due to their clear advantage in key offensive metrics and recent form. Zagłębie have scored 40 goals this season versus Arka’s 25; in the last 5 matches they’ve scored 7 goals and won 3, while Arka scored 6 and won only 1 of their last 5, averaging 1 point per game versus 1.8 for the visitors. Away, the visitors average 11.85 shots per game with 4 on target and xG 1.4, whereas Arka at home average 10.23 shots with 3.69 on target and xG 1.3, giving Zagłębie the edge in chance quality. Arka do have home strengths — 1.46 goals per game, lower goals conceded per game 1.08, higher conversion 14% versus the visitors’ 10%, and a lower share of matches without a goal (15% vs 23%) — however their worse goals conceded in the last 5 (Arka conceded 8, Zagłębie 3) and the visitors’ better points form favor the away side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin fixture the signal for BTTS - Yes is strong: Zagłębie records BTTS in 62% of matches, Arka in 46%, while the league average is 57%, supporting a better-than-50% probability that both teams will score. Offensive metrics and xG indicate Arka has average xG 1.46 and averages 11.77 shots (3.92 on target) with 1.85 goals and a 16% conversion rate, whereas Zagłębie posts xG 1.40, 11.85 shots (4.0 on target) and 1.23 goals with a 10% conversion, so both sides create similar chances while Arka is more efficient. A caveat from the last 5 matches: Arka scored 6 and conceded 8 (1.2 and 1.6 per game), while Zagłębie scored 7 and conceded 3 (1.4 and 0.6), highlighting the visitors’ better defensive form. Season-long goal figures underline the ambiguity: Arka 25 scored and 44 conceded, Zagłębie 40 scored and 30 conceded, meaning there is both potential for goals from the visitors and a tendency for Arka to concede. Considering the strong league-level signal (57%), Zagłębie’s high BTTS rate (62%) and Arka’s season-long concession tendency, but also acknowledging Zagłębie’s solid defense in the last 5 matches, I assess BTTS at 64% vs 36% and tip BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 2.70 for the match (Arka 1.62, Zagłębie 1.08), calculated as the average of goals scored by Arka at home (1.85) and goals conceded by Zagłębie away (1.38), and analogously for the visitors (1.23 scored, 0.92 conceded by Arka). Both teams’ xG are similar: Arka xG_for 1.46, Zagłębie xG_for 1.40, with xG_against of 1.84 and 1.81 respectively, and Arka has higher shot efficiency (conversion 16% vs 10%), which can elevate actual goal output. Seasonal rates show frequent matches with at least 2 goals: Over 1.5 is 77% for Arka and 69% for Lubin, and a Poisson model with λ=2.70 gives ~75% probability for over 1.5, so the signal on this line is strong and consistent with the data. Over 2.5 hovers around 51% (seasonal 46%/54%), and over 3.5 about 29% (seasonal 38%/31%), therefore the 1.5 line (over) offers the best probability-to-risk ratio and is recommended.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Arka led at the break in 6 matches (46%) and scores an average of 0.92 goals by half-time versus 0.54 for Zagłębie, which clearly favors the home side in the first 45 minutes. Over the full match Arka averages 1.85 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Zagłębie records 1.23 scored and 1.38 conceded — the goal profiles (1.85–0.92 vs 1.23–1.38) speak in Arka’s favor. Arka’s finishing efficiency is higher (16% shot conversion versus 10% for the visitors) with a similar xG (1.46 vs 1.40), suggesting the home team converts chances better. Additionally, Arka scores early (7 goals in 0–15 min and 5 goals in 31–45), while Zagłębie has lost 38% of matches and concedes 1.38 goals per game, so the most likely outcome is Arka leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arka Gdynia | Zagłębie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Zagłębie Lubin is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.8 pts / game - Zagłębie Lubin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.54 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.69 goals / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.15 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin
Arka Gdynia scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Zagłębie Lubin scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arka Gdynia
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zagłębie Lubin is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Arka Gdynia · 1.42 pts / game - Zagłębie Lubin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arka Gdynia
Zagłębie Lubin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Arka Gdynia | Liga | Zagłębie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.73 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 58% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Arka Gdynia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Zagłębie Lubin. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Arka Gdynia 3:1 Zagłębie Lubin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin?
Arka Gdynia score 0.96 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin 1.54. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Arka Gdynia's matches and 54% of Zagłębie Lubin's.
What form are Arka Gdynia and Zagłębie Lubin in?
Over the last 5 games Arka Gdynia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin?
The statistical background for Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.