Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: match statistics
Arminia Bielefeld presents solid home form with 44% wins and a positive goal difference (+7), however, the last five overall matches (0 wins, 0.4 pts/match) indicate a clear crisis of form. Holstein Kiel is in much better disposition with a streak of five matches without defeat (2 wins, 3 draws, 1.8 pts/match) and nine goals in this period. The guests, however, have a weaker away record (22% wins, 33% draws) and a negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Taking into account Bielefeld's home advantage (56% ball possession, 1.89 goals on average) and Kiel's rising form, I expect an even match with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw seems the most probable result.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arminia Bielefeld played against Holstein Kiel in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 23, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Arminia Bielefeld has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Holstein Kiel has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Arminia Bielefeld scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.39. Holstein Kiel scores 1.22 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Arminia Bielefeld's games and 56% of Holstein Kiel's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 39%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arminia Bielefeld has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.33 per game. Arminia Bielefeld takes 13.3 shots per game, while Holstein Kiel takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Arminia Bielefeld leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arminia Bielefeld's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Holstein Kiel, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arminia Bielefeld presents solid home form with 44% wins and a positive goal difference (+7), however, the last five overall matches (0 wins, 0.4 pts/match) indicate a clear crisis of form. Holstein Kiel is in much better disposition with a streak of five matches without defeat (2 wins, 3 draws, 1.8 pts/match) and nine goals in this period. The guests, however, have a weaker away record (22% wins, 33% draws) and a negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Taking into account Bielefeld's home advantage (56% ball possession, 1.89 goals on average) and Kiel's rising form, I expect an even match with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw seems the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arminia Bielefeld | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Holstein Kiel is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.6 pts / game - Holstein Kiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arminia Bielefeld is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.22 goals / game - Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.22 goals / game - Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Holstein Kiel scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 meczów), while Arminia Bielefeld keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arminia Bielefeld
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Holstein Kiel is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.39 pts / game - Holstein Kiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arminia Bielefeld - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Arminia Bielefeld | Liga | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.89 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Arminia Bielefeld's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Holstein Kiel. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Arminia Bielefeld 2:2 Holstein Kiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
Arminia Bielefeld score 1.50 goals per game on average and Holstein Kiel 1.22. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Arminia Bielefeld's matches and 56% of Holstein Kiel's.
What form are Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel in?
Over the last 5 games Arminia Bielefeld have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Holstein Kiel 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.