Arsenal vs Newcastle United: match statistics
Arsenal vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arsenal play Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Arsenal: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arsenal scores 1.87 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arsenal 47%, Newcastle United 66%. Over 2.5: Arsenal 53%, Newcastle United 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Arsenal has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.54. Arsenal: 14.6 shots per match, Newcastle United: 12.9.
Match halves
Arsenal: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.08. Newcastle United: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Arsenal: 31-45+ (16 goals). Newcastle United: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Arsenal has a clear statistical advantage: at home they average 2.25 goals per match and have xG of 1.86, while Newcastle average 1.00 goal away and have xG 1.41. The hosts defend better — conceding only 0.69 goals at home on average with 50% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.31 goals away and have 31% clean sheets. Arsenal creates more chances (on average 16.44 shots and 4.94 on target per home match, shot accuracy 14%) versus 11.5 shots and 3.75 on target for Newcastle (accuracy 9%), and additionally the visitors fail to score in 38% of away matches. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 4 goals and average 0.8 points per game, while Newcastle scored 6 goals, average 0.6 points per game and have conceded as many as 13 goals in that period, which weakens their defense. Considering the advantage in xG, number and quality of chances and the superior home goal balance, I predict an Arsenal victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arsenal | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arsenal is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Arsenal · 1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Arsenal · 1.39 goals / match - Newcastle United
Arsenal is 104% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Arsenal · 1.45 goals / match - Newcastle United
Arsenal scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Newcastle United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arsenal
Over / Under — Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Arsenal · 1.39 pts / match - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arsenal
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arsenal | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 2.75 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arsenal 1 - 0 - 0 Newcastle United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arsenal vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Arsenal 1:0 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arsenal vs Newcastle United?
Arsenal score 1.87 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.39. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Arsenal's matches and 66% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Arsenal and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Arsenal have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Newcastle United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arsenal vs Newcastle United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arsenal vs Newcastle United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.