Artsakh vs Ararat: match statistics
Artsakh vs Ararat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Artsakh play Ararat in Armenian Premier League (Armenia). The match date is 19 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Mika. Final score: 8:3.
Current form
Artsakh: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Ararat: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Artsakh scores 2.26 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Ararat scores 0.78 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Artsakh 37%, Ararat 41%. Over 2.5: Artsakh 56%, Ararat 52%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Artsakh has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.23. Artsakh: 15.2 shots per match, Ararat: 10.6.
Match halves
Artsakh: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 1.26. Ararat: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Artsakh: 76-90+ (18 goals). Ararat: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Armenian Premier League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1) — Artsakh shows significantly better home metrics: 62% wins, on average 2.08 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per match, with a +17 goal differential at home. Ararat performs poorly away: on average 0.77 goals scored, 2.69 conceded, a -25 goal differential and 77% losses on the road. The difference in quality of chances also favors the hosts — Artsakh records average xG 1.96 and 6.15 shots on target per home match versus Ararat’s 1.24 xG and 3.69 shots on target away, with conversion rates of 12% vs 7%. Recent form over the last 5 matches confirms the advantage: Artsakh scored 12 and conceded 3 in the last 5 (3 wins, 2 draws) averaging 2.2 points, while Ararat has 3 scored and 7 conceded and averages 1.2 points. Based on this I estimate probabilities of 72% for a home win, 18% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Artsakh | Ararat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Artsakh is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Artsakh · 0.8 pts / match - Ararat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Artsakh is 190% better for: goals scored per match.
2.26 goals / match - Artsakh · 0.78 goals / match - Ararat
Artsakh is 233% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Artsakh · 2.33 goals / match - Ararat
Artsakh scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Ararat keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
Ararat scores in 48% of matches (13 of 27 matches), while Artsakh keeps a clean sheet in 59% (16 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Artsakh
Over / Under — Ararat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Artsakh is 251% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / match - Artsakh · 0.59 pts / match - Ararat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Artsakh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ararat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Artsakh
Ararat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Armenian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Artsakh | Liga | Ararat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 33% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Artsakh 2 - 0 - 0 Ararat. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Artsakh vs Ararat?
The Armenian Premier League match finished Artsakh 8:3 Ararat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Artsakh and Ararat?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Artsakh won 2, Ararat won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Artsakh vs Ararat?
Artsakh score 2.26 goals per game on average and Ararat 0.78. The Armenian Premier League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Artsakh's matches and 41% of Ararat's.
What form are Artsakh and Ararat in?
Over the last 5 games Artsakh have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Ararat 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Artsakh vs Ararat?
The statistical background for Artsakh vs Ararat — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.