Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even competition favoring a draw. Arzignano Valchiampo presents poor form with just one victory in the last five matches and a goal difference of -1 at home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Novara is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (69%), which is a key factor in this prediction. The visitors have better current form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (averaging 0.92 goals conceded). Both teams have similar average possession (45%), suggesting tactical balance. Considering Novara's tendency to draw and the hosts' weak form, the most likely result is a split of points.
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arzignano Valchiampo played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Arzignano Valchiampo has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Novara has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.54. Novara scores 1.00 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Arzignano Valchiampo's games and 54% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 29%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novara has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.36 per game. Arzignano Valchiampo takes 10.9 shots per game, while Novara takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Arzignano Valchiampo leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arzignano Valchiampo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even competition favoring a draw. Arzignano Valchiampo presents poor form with just one victory in the last five matches and a goal difference of -1 at home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Novara is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (69%), which is a key factor in this prediction. The visitors have better current form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (averaging 0.92 goals conceded). Both teams have similar average possession (45%), suggesting tactical balance. Considering Novara's tendency to draw and the hosts' weak form, the most likely result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novara is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1.6 pts / game - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1 goals / game - Novara
Novara is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.54 goals / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 0.96 goals / game - Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Novara scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arzignano Valchiampo
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1.21 pts / game - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.86 | 2.28 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Arzignano Valchiampo's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Novara. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Arzignano Valchiampo 1:1 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.32 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Arzignano Valchiampo's matches and 54% of Novara's.
What form are Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Arzignano Valchiampo have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Novara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.