AS Kigali vs Mukura: match statistics
AS Kigali vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Kigali play Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AS Kigali: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Mukura: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Kigali scores 0.77 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Mukura scores 1.06 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Kigali 43%, Mukura 56%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 34%, Mukura 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.09. AS Kigali: 7.7 shots per match, Mukura: 5.7.
Match halves
AS Kigali: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.54. Mukura: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
AS Kigali: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mukura: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back 2 (Mukura to win) because the visitors have 27 goals this season vs 18 for AS Kigali and a significantly better efficiency — 14% shot conversion away compared to 5% for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Mukura scored 7 goals and averaged 1.2 points per game, while AS Kigali managed only 3 goals and 0.4 points per game, indicating the visitors’ form advantage. AS Kigali, however, defend solidly at home — conceding 0.92 goals per game and keeping 42% clean sheets, but they also have a high share of home matches without scoring (58%). Mukura rarely fail to score away (only 13% of matches without a goal) and despite conceding 1.27 on average, their efficiency (0.93 goals with xG 1.06 and 14% conversion) gives them the edge in the final result. Therefore I assign 50% chance to the away win, 30% to a draw and 20% to the home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mukura is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.06 goals / match - Mukura
AS Kigali scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Mukura scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AS Kigali
Over / Under — Mukura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mukura is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.15 pts / match - Mukura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mukura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Kigali
Mukura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.12 | • 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 38% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 34% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 49% | 61% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Kigali 0 - 0 - 1 Mukura. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Mukura?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 1:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Mukura?
AS Kigali score 0.77 goals per game on average and Mukura 1.06. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 43% of AS Kigali's matches and 56% of Mukura's.
What form are AS Kigali and Mukura in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mukura 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Mukura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.