AS Kigali vs Musanze: match statistics
AS Kigali vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Kigali play Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Stade Régional de Nyamirambo. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AS Kigali: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Musanze: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Kigali scores 0.77 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Musanze scores 1.12 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Kigali 43%, Musanze 44%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 34%, Musanze 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.05. AS Kigali: 7.7 shots per match, Musanze: 6.0.
Match halves
AS Kigali: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.54. Musanze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
AS Kigali: 76-90+ (8 goals). Musanze: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X); the home side has an exceptionally high home draw rate (56% of matches), and Musanze have recorded 4 draws in their last 5 rounds, which raises the likelihood of a shared point. Statistically the visitors have stronger attacking efficiency: Musanze have scored 37 goals this season versus AS Kigali’s 25 (a 12-goal difference) and sit 8th in the table compared to the hosts’ 17th. AS Kigali at home generate on average 1.28 xG and 8.56 shots per match (3.19 on target), but have a low conversion rate of 7% and average only 0.56 goals per game, whereas Musanze away record 0.97 xG, 5.81 shots and a higher conversion of 17%, translating to an average of 1.00 goal. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts have conceded 9 goals and the visitors only 3, and the average points in the last 5 matches are 0.6 for AS Kigali and 1.4 for Musanze, which favors the visitors but does not rule out a draw as the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.12 goals / match - Musanze
Musanze is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.09 goals / match - Musanze
AS Kigali scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Musanze scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AS Kigali
Over / Under — Musanze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Musanze is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.26 pts / match - Musanze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Kigali
Musanze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.12 | • 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | • 34% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 49% | 61% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Kigali 0 - 0 - 1 Musanze. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Musanze?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 2:1 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Musanze?
AS Kigali score 0.77 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.12. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 43% of AS Kigali's matches and 44% of Musanze's.
What form are AS Kigali and Musanze in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Musanze 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Musanze?
The statistical background for AS Kigali vs Musanze — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.