ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău: match statistics
ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
ASA Târgu Mureş played against Metalul Buzău in Liga II (Romania). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
ASA Târgu Mureş has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Metalul Buzău has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
ASA Târgu Mureş scores 1.95 goals per game and allows 1.05. Metalul Buzău scores 1.68 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of ASA Târgu Mureş's games and 55% of Metalul Buzău's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 55%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Metalul Buzău has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.60 per game. ASA Târgu Mureş takes 12.2 shots per game, while Metalul Buzău takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
ASA Târgu Mureş leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Metalul Buzău leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
ASA Târgu Mureş's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Metalul Buzău, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga II games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (’1’). ASA Târgu Mureş, the league leader, averages 2.25 goals scored and concedes only 0.58 goals per home match, while Metalul Buzău scores 1.73 goals on the road and concedes 1.45. The home advantage is supported by xG: ASA posts 1.70 xG at home versus 1.51 xG for Metalul away, and the hosts average 5.92 shots on target with a 17% conversion rate compared to Metalul’s 4.91 and 14%. In the last 5 matches both sides scored 8 goals each, but ASA conceded 5 goals versus Metalul’s 10 conceded, and the average points per game are 1.4 for the hosts vs 1.2 for the visitors. Additionally, ASA has 67% of home matches with a clean sheet and a positive home goal difference of +20, while Metalul have only +3 away, so the hosts’ main advantages are a solid defense and superior attacking efficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS (Both Teams To Score) at 60% vs 40% for No BTTS. Seasonal BTTS rates are 45% for ASA Târgu Mureş and 64% for Metalul Buzău, averaging 54.5% and above the league level of 49%. xG indicates ASA generates 1.97 xG against 1.42 xG conceded by Metalul, while Metalul has 1.51 xG against 1.26 xG conceded by ASA — both teams create chances; additionally ASA averages 15.55 shots with 5.18 on target, and Metalul 12.64 with 4.91 on target. In the last 5 matches Metalul concedes on average 2.0 goals (vs 1.0 for ASA) and has 60% BTTS in the last 5, while clean sheets are rare (ASA 27%, Metalul 18%), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. In summary, the higher away seasonal BTTS (64%), solid xG for both sides and Metalul’s susceptibility to conceding goals lead me to choose BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate ASA Târgu Mureş will score about 1.70 goals (home xG 1.97 vs opposition conceded xG 1.42) and Metalul Buzău about 1.39 goals (away xG 1.51 vs ASA conceded xG 1.26), giving a combined total of ~3.09 goals. Seasonal goal averages are 1.64 (ASA) and 1.73 (Metalul). Both teams register a high share of matches with at least one goal: Over 0.5 in 91% for the home side and 100% for the visitors, while Over 1.5 occurs in 55% of ASA games and 91% of Metalul games. Metalul have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches (10 conceded goals) and their recent xG against is 1.66, whereas ASA concede 1.0 on average with xG against 1.31, which increases the likelihood of more goal-scoring situations. ASA generate more shots (15.55 vs 12.64) and have higher xG (1.97 vs 1.51), while Metalul have a higher conversion rate (14% vs 11%), so both teams possess the tools to score. Based on this I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: with an estimated combined xG of 3.09 I assess the probability of two or more goals at ~82%, Over 2.5 at ~60% and Over 3.5 at ~37%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Away team looks strong already by half-time: they lead at the break in 5 of 11 matches (45%) versus 4 of 11 for the home side (36%) and have 17 first-half goals compared to the home team’s 13. After 90 minutes I also favor the away team — they have 55% wins versus 45% for home and average 1.73 goals scored per match with 1.45 conceded. Although xG favors the home team (1.97 vs 1.51), the away side converts better (14% efficiency vs 11%) and in the last 5 fixtures they scored 10 first-half goals versus 3 for the hosts; additionally 91% of the away team’s matches feature at least 0.5 goals by half-time. Therefore the strongest and most consistent signal in the data is the away team leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| ASA Târgu Mureş | Metalul Buzău | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
ASA Târgu Mureş is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.2 pts / game - Metalul Buzău
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ASA Târgu Mureş is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.95 goals / game - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.68 goals / game - Metalul Buzău
ASA Târgu Mureş is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.27 goals / game - Metalul Buzău
ASA Târgu Mureş scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Metalul Buzău keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Metalul Buzău scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while ASA Târgu Mureş keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ASA Târgu Mureş
Over / Under - Metalul Buzău
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ASA Târgu Mureş is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / game - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.59 pts / game - Metalul Buzău
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ASA Târgu Mureş - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Metalul Buzău - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
ASA Târgu Mureş
Metalul Buzău
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| ASA Târgu Mureş | Liga | Metalul Buzău | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from ASA Târgu Mureş's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Metalul Buzău. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău?
The Liga II match finished ASA Târgu Mureş 1:4 Metalul Buzău. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău?
ASA Târgu Mureş score 1.95 goals per game on average and Metalul Buzău 1.68. The Liga II average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 41% of ASA Târgu Mureş's matches and 55% of Metalul Buzău's.
What form are ASA Târgu Mureş and Metalul Buzău in?
Over the last 5 games ASA Târgu Mureş have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Metalul Buzău 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău?
The statistical background for ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.