Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners: match statistics

Asan Mugunghwa sit 7th, while Ansan Greeners are only 15th, with the hosts’ overall season record standing at 7 wins and 6 defeats compared with the visitors’ 5 wins and 11 losses. At home, Asan average 1.8 goals per match and have failed to score in none of their games, whereas Ansan average just one goal away from home and draw a blank in 43% of matches. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 10.6 shots and 3.9 shots on target per game, compared with Ansan’s 7.14 attempts and 3.29 shots on target. The key factor is the superior quality of chances, with Asan averaging 1.32 xG at home, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents as much as 2.14 xG per away match. Recent form also slightly favors the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 10 goals in that run, whereas Ansan have found the net only 5 times during the same period.

Asan Mugunghwa has a very clear seasonal BTTS profile, with both teams scoring in 83% of its matches, while the hosts have kept a clean sheet in none of them. Ansan Greeners more often produce one-sided games, as BTTS has landed in only 29% of their matches, and as many as 43% of their games ended without them scoring. Current form nevertheless slightly supports the BTTS - Yes option: in their last 5 appearances, Asan averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Ansan averaged 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. The hosts also have a high xG from their last five matches, at 2.00, while the visitors' defense allows an average of 1.94 xG. Ansan's weaker xG figure of 0.61 limits confidence in the pick, but Asan's zero clean-sheet rate gives the visitors a realistic chance of scoring at least once.

Asan Mugunghwa have averaged 2.0 goals scored and created chances worth 2.0 xG in their last five matches, while Ansan Greeners have conceded 2.0 goals per game over the same period. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet all season, while their opponents have scored at least once in 56% of matches, increasing the likelihood of the visitors contributing to the scoreline. The 1.5 line has been surpassed in 92% of Asan’s matches and 71% of Ansan’s, clearly more often than the 2.5 threshold, which stands at 75% and 43%, respectively. In their last five matches, both teams recorded at least three goals in 60% of games, but the visitors’ weaker attack, generating just 0.61 xG, limits confidence in higher lines. The projected total of 2.70 goals indicates that Over 1.5 is the strongest and most reliable selection.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Asan Mugunghwa victory at the final whistle, corresponding to the HT/FT pick X/2. In their last five matches, Ansan Greeners have lost the first half in 80% of cases, scoring just 0.2 goals before the break and conceding 1.4 per game. The hosts are also not a team that takes the lead early, having been level at half-time in 40% of their recent appearances, with an average of only 0.4 goals scored before the break. After the interval, Asan have shown a clear improvement in their recent form, averaging 1.6 goals in second halves, compared with 0.8 for Ansan. In addition, the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and are averaging 2.0 goals per game overall, while the visitors have conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period.