Italy - Serie BStadio Cino e Lillo Del DucaData current as of October 15, 2026

Ascoli vs Empoli: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Ascoli vs Empoli: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ascoli plays Empoli in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Recent form

Ascoli has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Empoli has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Ascoli scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.67. Empoli scores 1.00 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Ascoli's games and 50% of Empoli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ascoli has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.01 per game. Ascoli takes 14.3 shots per game, while Empoli takes 9.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Ascoli leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Empoli leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ascoli's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Empoli, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.87)
(3.60)
(3.89)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.17Goals scored / game1
AscoliEmpoli
0.67Goals allowed / game1.67
AscoliEmpoli
61%Average possession44%
AscoliEmpoli
4.33Shots on target / game2.83
AscoliEmpoli

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.33Shots per game9.5
AscoliEmpoli
4.33Shots on target2.83
AscoliEmpoli
8.1%Shot conversion10.5%
AscoliEmpoli
61%Possession44%
AscoliEmpoli
1.55xG for1.01
AscoliEmpoli
1.36xG against1.97
AscoliEmpoli

Shooting quality

Ascoli: DominantEmpoli: Balanced
AscoliEmpoli
Accuracy (shots on target)30%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ascoli is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Ascoli · 0.6 pts / game - Empoli

Ascoli
DWLWD
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Empoli
LWLLL
Season result split
33% W0% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 2.04BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ascoli is 17% better for: goals scored per game.

1.17 goals / game - Ascoli · 1 goals / game - Empoli

Ascoli is 149% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Ascoli · 1.67 goals / game - Empoli

Ascoli scoring profile: strong

Ascoli scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Empoli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Empoli scoring profile: very strong

Empoli scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

7Goals scored (season)6
AscoliEmpoli
4Goals conceded (season)10
AscoliEmpoli
1.83Average goals per game2.67
AscoliEmpoli
5Goals scored (last 5)5
AscoliEmpoli
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
AscoliEmpoli

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
AscoliEmpoli
33%2 goals17%
AscoliEmpoli
17%3 goals0%
AscoliEmpoli
0%4 goals0%
AscoliEmpoli

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
AscoliEmpoli
0%2 goals50%
AscoliEmpoli
0%3 goals33%
AscoliEmpoli
0%4 goals17%
AscoliEmpoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
AscoliEmpoli
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AscoliEmpoli
0%Scored in both halves0%
AscoliEmpoli

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
AscoliEmpoli
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AscoliEmpoli
40%BTTS - last 560%
AscoliEmpoli

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
AscoliEmpoli
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
AscoliEmpoli
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AscoliEmpoli

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
AscoliEmpoli
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
AscoliEmpoli
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
AscoliEmpoli

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Empoli is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / game - Ascoli · 1.67 pts / game - Empoli

Ascoli - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Empoli - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per game (1st half)1.67
AscoliEmpoli
0Goals scored (1st half)0.33
AscoliEmpoli
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0
AscoliEmpoli
0.33Average goals (1st half)0.33
AscoliEmpoli
67%Clean sheet before half-time100%
AscoliEmpoli
100%No goal before half-time67%
AscoliEmpoli

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per game (2nd half)0.67
AscoliEmpoli
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
AscoliEmpoli
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.67
AscoliEmpoli
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.33
AscoliEmpoli
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
AscoliEmpoli
33%No goal after half-time50%
AscoliEmpoli

Ascoli - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Empoli - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.7

Allows 1.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ascoli - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.21.4
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Empoli - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.02.0
Average goals per game0.22.8
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Empoli
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
6
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Empoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

AscoliLigaEmpoli
Average goals per game▼ 1.832.68• 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 50%62%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%53%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 33%22%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%63%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.28
Away goals / game
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ascoli and Empoli play?

Ascoli face Empoli on October 17, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Empoli?

Ascoli score 1.17 goals per game on average and Empoli 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ascoli's matches and 50% of Empoli's.

What form are Ascoli and Empoli in?

Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Empoli 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Empoli?

The statistical background for Ascoli vs Empoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.