Ascoli vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ascoli play Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 8 December 2025 at 14:30. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Ascoli: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ascoli scores 1.75 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ascoli 39%, Forlì 53%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 47%, Forlì 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Ascoli has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.53. Ascoli: 13.7 shots per match, Forlì: 11.8.

Match halves

Ascoli: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.94. Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Ascoli: 31-45+ (18 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
AscoliForlì
18Shots10
AscoliForlì
6Shots on target2
AscoliForlì
2.03xG1.31
AscoliForlì
6Corners4
AscoliForlì
67Dangerous attacks74
AscoliForlì
12Fouls14
AscoliForlì
3Cards2
AscoliForlì

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.75Goals scored / match1.14
AscoliForlì
0.64Goals conceded / match1.44
AscoliForlì
66%Average possession53%
AscoliForlì
5.08Shots on target / match4.11
AscoliForlì

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.67Shots per match11.81
AscoliForlì
5.08Shots on target4.11
AscoliForlì
12.8%Shot conversion9.6%
AscoliForlì
66%Possession53%
AscoliForlì
1.69xG for1.53
AscoliForlì
1.09xG against1.36
AscoliForlì

Shooting quality

Ascoli: BalancedForlì: Balanced
AscoliForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)37%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ascoli is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Ascoli · 1 pts / match - Forlì

Ascoli
WWWWL
Season result split
64% W22% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-8-5
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Forlì
DLLWD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-11
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ascoli is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.75 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.14 goals / match - Forlì

Ascoli is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.64 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.44 goals / match - Forlì

Ascoli scoring profile: very strong

Ascoli scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Forlì scoring profile: mixed

Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

63Goals scored (season)41
AscoliForlì
23Goals conceded (season)52
AscoliForlì
2.39Average goals in match2.58
AscoliForlì
8Goals scored (last 5)3
AscoliForlì
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
AscoliForlì

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal69%
AscoliForlì
56%2 goals33%
AscoliForlì
33%3 goals8%
AscoliForlì
6%4 goals3%
AscoliForlì

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal78%
AscoliForlì
8%2 goals47%
AscoliForlì
3%3 goals17%
AscoliForlì
3%4 goals3%
AscoliForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time11%
AscoliForlì
0%BTTS in both halves3%
AscoliForlì
33%Scored in both halves17%
AscoliForlì

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
AscoliForlì
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
AscoliForlì
40%BTTS - last 540%
AscoliForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
AscoliForlì
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
AscoliForlì
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
AscoliForlì

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
AscoliForlì
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
AscoliForlì
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
AscoliForlì

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ascoli is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.22 pts / match - Forlì

Ascoli - half-time state
39% leading50% draw11% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
25% leading47% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.22
AscoliForlì
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.44
AscoliForlì
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
AscoliForlì
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.03
AscoliForlì
75%Clean sheet before half-time64%
AscoliForlì
50%No goal before half-time67%
AscoliForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

1.97Points per match (2nd half)1.25
AscoliForlì
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
AscoliForlì
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
AscoliForlì
1.28Average goals (2nd half)1.56
AscoliForlì
72%Clean sheet after half-time39%
AscoliForlì
39%No goal after half-time47%
AscoliForlì

Ascoli - second-half results

56% W31% R14% P
60
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forlì - second-half results

31% W33% R36% P
44
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ascoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
18
6
31-45
13
1
46-60
7
5
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
8
8
16-30
4
10
31-45
6
11
46-60
9
9
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

AscoliLigaForlì
Average goals in match 2.392.26 2.58
Both teams scored 39%49% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%39% 44%
Clean sheets 50%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 58%63% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ascoli 1 - 0 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ascoli vs Forlì?

The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 3:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Forlì?

Ascoli score 1.75 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.14. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Ascoli's matches and 53% of Forlì's.

What form are Ascoli and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Forlì?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.