Ascoli vs Livorno: match statistics
Ascoli demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches, recording a 58% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 while conceding only 0.42 goals per match. The hosts maintain high efficiency with 67% clean sheets and a solid xG of 1.6 per home match. Livorno shows serious issues in away matches—70% losses, a negative goal difference of -10, and only 20% wins with an average of just 0.6 goals scored on the road. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which, combined with Ascoli's defensive solidity at home, significantly lowers their chances. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), home advantage and direct statistics point towards a certain victory for the hosts.
Ascoli vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ascoli played against Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on January 30, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Ascoli has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Livorno has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ascoli scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 0.59. Livorno scores 1.00 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Ascoli's games and 50% of Livorno's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 59%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ascoli has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.33 per game. Ascoli takes 12.2 shots per game, while Livorno takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Ascoli leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Livorno leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ascoli's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Livorno, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches, recording a 58% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 while conceding only 0.42 goals per match. The hosts maintain high efficiency with 67% clean sheets and a solid xG of 1.6 per home match. Livorno shows serious issues in away matches—70% losses, a negative goal difference of -10, and only 20% wins with an average of just 0.6 goals scored on the road. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which, combined with Ascoli's defensive solidity at home, significantly lowers their chances. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), home advantage and direct statistics point towards a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Ascoli · 1 goals / game - Livorno
Ascoli is 146% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.59 goals / game - Ascoli · 1.45 goals / game - Livorno
Ascoli scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Livorno scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Ascoli · 1.32 pts / game - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ascoli
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.05 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 37% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 31% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ascoli's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Livorno. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 3:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Livorno?
Ascoli score 1.45 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Ascoli's matches and 50% of Livorno's.
What form are Ascoli and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Ascoli vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.