Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs CD Feirense: match statistics

Académica Coimbra sit in 1st place, while CD Feirense are 7th, and the hosts won their most recent league match 4:1. Académica are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws while scoring 12 goals—an average of 2.4 per game. Over the same period, Feirense have scored just 5 goals, winning once, drawing three times and losing once, which points to significantly lower attacking efficiency. Both teams have conceded 5 goals in their last five appearances, but the hosts’ superior goal production and return of 2.2 points per match compared with the visitors’ 1.2 favor an Académica victory. A draw remains a realistic possibility given Feirense’s 3 draws in their last five matches, but a home win is the more likely outcome.

The last five matches involving both teams produced BTTS at 60%, clearly above the league average of 43%. Académica averaged 2.4 goals during this period, while Feirense averaged 1.0, with both teams conceding 1.0 goal per match. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG: 1.47 for the hosts and 1.23 for the visitors, while their opponents recorded 1.41 and 1.22 xG respectively. Académica should consistently threaten the goal, but their recent defensive performances allowed enough chances for Feirense to have a realistic opportunity to score. The BTTS signal is moderate because the seasonal data is very limited, but current form and the five-match records slightly support the “Yes” option.

Data from the last five matches points to the home side’s attacking potential, with the hosts scoring an average of 2.4 goals, while Feirense averaged 1.0 goal per game. At the same time, both teams conceded 1.0 goal per match during this period, while their average xG stood at 1.47 and 1.23 respectively, suggesting a scenario of around 2–3 goals. Over 2.5 landed in 60% of each side’s last five matches, but the league-wide average is only 2.0 goals, and the 2.5 line is surpassed in 43% of matches. The 3.5 line provides a margin for results such as 2:1, 1:1 or 2:0, all of which align well with the projected total of 2.55 goals. Therefore, Under 3.5 has the highest probability, despite Académica’s clearly superior recent scoring form.

Académica have been in clearly better form over their last five matches: they average 2.4 goals and have not lost any of those fixtures, whereas Feirense average 1.0 goal and have won only 20% of their matches. The hosts led at the break in 60% of these games, compared with 40% for the visitors, and averaged 1.0 first-half goal against Feirense’s 0.6. After the interval, Académica’s advantage becomes even more pronounced, as they average 1.4 goals compared with just 0.4 for their opponents; the hosts have also won the second half in 80% of their last five appearances. Feirense drew as many as 60% of their matches in full time, which keeps the draw-based outcomes as a significant possibility, but the hosts’ offensive superiority and their 60% win rate primarily support an Académica lead at the break and a final victory. Seasonal data remains very limited, so the probability of 1/1 remains moderate rather than dominant.