Astana vs Kairat: match statistics
Astana vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Astana played against Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on September 17, 2026. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Astana has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Kairat has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Astana scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.04. Kairat scores 2.04 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Astana's games and 52% of Kairat's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 60%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.74 per game. Astana takes 15.4 shots per game, while Kairat takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Astana leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Kairat leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Astana's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Kairat, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Astana have been exceptionally effective at home: they have won 92% of their home matches, remain unbeaten there, and average 2.50 goals per game. The hosts also create more chances than Kairat do away from home, averaging 18.08 shots, 7.75 shots on target and an xG of 2.07, compared with the visitors’ 14.62 shots, 5.62 attempts on target and xG of 1.63. Astana’s defense concedes just 0.67 goals per home match, while Kairat average 1.85 goals away from home, setting up a demanding test for the visitors. Kairat have the better overall season record, with 17 wins and just 1 defeat, but their last five matches have produced 3 wins and 2 defeats, whereas Astana have recorded 3 wins and a draw. Home advantage, superior chance creation and an outstanding home record all point towards a narrow Astana victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Astana defend extremely effectively at home, conceding an average of just 0.45 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 64% of games, which significantly limits Kairat’s chances of scoring. The hosts are also highly productive in attack, averaging 2.36 goals, 1.85 xG and 6.64 shots on target per match, so a one-sided victory remains a realistic scenario. Astana’s seasonal BTTS rate is just 36%, compared with Kairat’s 62%, and this difference is further reinforced by the fact that the visitors have not recorded BTTS in any of their last 5 matches. Kairat do average 1.85 goals per game this season, but their last 5 matches produced only 1.19 xG per game, while Astana’s defense ranks among the strongest. The “No” selection is therefore more likely, as at least one team—above all Kairat—faces a substantial risk of ending the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Astana score an average of 2.36 goals per home game, while Kairat average 1.85 goals away from home, creating a solid foundation for at least two goals. Both teams regularly exceed the 1.5-goal line: this occurs in 82% of Astana’s matches and 77% of Kairat’s. The hosts generate an average of 1.85 xG, while the visitors record 1.63 xG, and both teams also take more than 14 shots per game. The last five matches further support a goals-based scenario, with Astana scoring 10 goals and Kairat 8, while conceding 5 and 6 respectively. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as the high consistency of both attacks provides a clearer edge than the more demanding 2.5 and 3.5 lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Astana win 73% of their home matches and are yet to suffer a defeat, while their average of 2.36 goals scored is well above the 0.45 goals conceded. The hosts were leading at the break in 6 of 11 matches (55%), conceding an average of just 0.09 goals before half-time, whereas Kairat concede 0.38 goals in this period away from home. Astana’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.85 compared with Kairat’s 1.63, while shots on target average 6.64 versus 5.62. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.36 goals and win this period in 64% of matches, whereas Kairat score just 0.69 goals during this phase. Kairat remain a threat, so half-time draw variants are also relevant, but the scenario of Astana leading at the break and securing a full-time victory has the strongest support in the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kairat is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Astana · 2.4 pts / game - Kairat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.71 goals / game - Astana · 2.04 goals / game - Kairat
Kairat is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Astana · 0.76 goals / game - Kairat
Astana scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 games), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 games).
Kairat scores in 92% of games (23 of 25 games), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Astana
Over / Under - Kairat
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Astana
Kairat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Astana's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Kairat. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Kairat?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 1:0 Kairat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Kairat?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Astana won 0, Kairat won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Kairat?
Astana score 1.71 goals per game on average and Kairat 2.04. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Astana's matches and 52% of Kairat's.
What form are Astana and Kairat in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kairat 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Kairat?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.