Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar: match statistics
Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Astana played against Kyzyl-Zhar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Astana has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Kyzyl-Zhar has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Astana scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.25. Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.25 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Astana's games and 38% of Kyzyl-Zhar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Astana has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.12 per game. Astana takes 14.6 shots per game, while Kyzyl-Zhar takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Astana leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Kyzyl-Zhar leads at halftime in 13% and scores 1.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Astana's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Kyzyl-Zhar, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Astana is the favorite: at home they average 2.25 goals per game, register 7 shots on target and have 59% possession. At home they are unbeaten (0% defeats), have won 75% of matches and boast a +6 goal differential. Kyzyl-Zhar score only 0.33 goals on average away, average 2 shots on target per game, have a shot accuracy rate of 3% and failed to score in 67% of away matches, indicating serious finishing issues. The visitors’ defense away, however, is compact: Kyzyl-Zhar concede only 0.33 goals on average and keep 67% clean sheets, with an average xG against of 1.06, which suggests they can limit actual damage despite chances created. In the last 5 matches the hosts average 1 point per game (form ddwll), while the visitors average 1.8 points per game and have 3 wins in 5 (wwlwl), yet the visitors’ better form does not translate into away efficiency. Considering Astana’s superiority in quality and volume of chances (xG 1.77 and 7 shots on target at home versus the visitors’ xG against 1.06 and 2 shots on target away) and the high percentage of matches where Kyzyl-Zhar fail to score (67%), I tip the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean toward a BTTS - Yes scenario: 70% Yes, 30% No. Astana has a season BTTS rate of 60% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with goals scored 1.8 on the season and 1.2 in the last 5, while conceding 1.2 on the season and 1.4 in the last 5. Kyzyl-Zhar has a season clean sheet rate of 67% and a season goals average of 0.33, but in the last 5 matches they scored 8 goals (1.6 avg.) and conceded 4 goals (0.8 avg.), showing scoring potential in form. xG suggests similar chance creation: xG_for 1.17 (Astana) vs 1.04 (Kyzyl-Zhar) and xG_against 1.33 vs 1.06, and additionally Astana averages 4.4 shots on target vs 2.0 for the opponents and has a conversion rate of 19% vs 3%, which increases the probability that both sides will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and form, I expect around 1.35 goals for Astana (xG_for season 1.17, xG_for last 5 = 1.56) and 0.95 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar (xG_for season 1.04, xG_for last 5 = 1.01), totaling 2.30 expected goals. Astana averages 1.8 goals per game this season, registers 4.4 shots on target with a 19% conversion rate, while Kyzyl-Zhar has season figures of 0.33 goals per game, 2.0 shots on target and a 3% conversion, so most goals should come from the home side. Data show a divergence: Astana home matches finished Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, but Kyzyl-Zhar away games had 0% Over 2.5, therefore signals point to a confident Over 1.5 but a less convincing Over 2.5. After weighing these indicators the model gives about a 67% chance of Over 1.5, about 40% for Over 2.5 and about 20% for Over 3.5, so I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1): Astana scores an average of 0.2 goals by half-time while Kyzyl‑Zhar averages 0.0, which favors a draw in the first 45 minutes. After the break however the hosts significantly accelerate — they score an average of 1.6 goals in the second half and in 100% of their matches so far they have had at least 0.5 goals after the break, so they are most often the side to produce the turnaround. Additionally Astana has an xG of 1.17 versus 1.04 for their opponents and 4.4 shots on target per game compared to 2.0 for the visitors, and the higher conversion rate (19% vs 3%) means that with similar xG the hosts more frequently convert chances into goals. Even so Kyzyl‑Zhar keep a lot of clean sheets (67% of matches without conceding this season), which justifies a relatively high chance of a full-time draw (I gave 22% to X/X) and a small probability that the visitors win after a half-time draw (X/2 only 2%). Therefore the most correct HT/FT pick is X/1, with 1/1 (10%) and 2/1 (7%) treated as secondary scenarios due to the rarity of the hosts leading at half-time (20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Kyzyl-Zhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Astana · 1.4 pts / game - Kyzyl-Zhar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Astana · 1.25 goals / game - Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Astana · 0.88 goals / game - Kyzyl-Zhar
Astana scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Astana
Over / Under - Kyzyl-Zhar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Astana · 0.88 pts / game - Kyzyl-Zhar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Astana
Kyzyl-Zhar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Kyzyl-Zhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.63 | 2.07 | • 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Astana's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Kyzyl-Zhar. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 2:1 Kyzyl-Zhar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Kyzyl-Zhar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Astana won 1, Kyzyl-Zhar won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Astana score 1.38 goals per game on average and Kyzyl-Zhar 1.25. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Astana's matches and 38% of Kyzyl-Zhar's.
What form are Astana and Kyzyl-Zhar in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.