Astana vs Ordabasy: match statistics
Astana vs Ordabasy: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Astana played against Ordabasy in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Astana has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.75 points per game. Ordabasy has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Astana scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.25. Ordabasy scores 1.75 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Astana's games and 50% of Ordabasy's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ordabasy has the higher season xG average, 2.28 to 1.62 per game. Astana takes 13.5 shots per game, while Ordabasy takes 20.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Astana leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Ordabasy leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Astana's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Ordabasy, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Astana shows strong home metrics: on average 17.5 shots and 9 shots on target per match, xG 2.12 and 3.0 goals scored per match, with just 0.5 goals conceded on average. Ordabasy away records only 8 shots and 4 on target, xG 1.07 and 2.0 goals per match, but their shot conversion is 25% versus Astana’s 17%, which increases the value of their limited chances. In the last 5 matches Astana scored 8 goals and averages 2.0 points per match, while Ordabasy scored 11 goals and averages 2.2 points per match, indicating better recent efficiency for the visitors. Defensively the hosts are solid at home (50% clean sheets and xG against 0.69), whereas Ordabasy officially haven’t conceded away (0.0 goals conceded) but have a higher xG against 1.23, suggesting their clean sheets may have been partly down to luck. Considering Astana’s significantly higher volume of chances and superior xG (2.12 vs 1.07) plus a possession edge (58% vs 51%), I tip a home win; probability distribution: 60% Astana, 22% draw, 18% Ordabasy.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Astana at home has BTTS in 67% of matches and averages 1.67 goals scored with as much as 2.68 xG per game and 9 shots on target, indicating a high volume of created chances. Ordabasy have a seasonal 100% clean sheets away record and 0% BTTS, but their last 5 matches tell a different story: 60% BTTS in the last five, averaging 2.2 goals and 2.17 xG (11 goals in 5 games). xG/defense comparison shows Astana generates 2.68 xG versus 1.23 xG conceded by Ordabasy, while the visitors have 1.07 xG away against 0.96 xG conceded by Astana, indicating a real chance for both teams to score. Additionally, Ordabasy have a high conversion rate of 25% with an average of 8 shots, so even with fewer attempts they can convert; given Astana's 67% BTTS at home and the offensive numbers of both sides, I pick BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives 1.96 expected goals for Astana and 1.02 for Ordabasy (1.96 = home xG attack 2.68 and xG conceded by visitors 1.23; 1.02 = away xG attack 1.07 and xG conceded to hosts 0.96), totaling 2.98 goals. Using a Poisson distribution with lambda=2.98, the probability of Over 1.5 is ~79.8% (rounded to 80%), Over 2.5 ≈57.3% (57%) and Over 3.5 ≈34.9% (35%). Astana averages 24.33 shots and 9.0 on target versus Ordabasy’s 8.0 shots and 4.0 on target, and the hosts’ xG 2.68 vs visitors’ 1.07 underscores the attacking advantage. The difference in conversion (7% for Astana vs 25% for Ordabasy) indicates the visitors are efficient with fewer chances, but Astana creates far more opportunities. Considering the total expected 2.98 goals and seasonal stats (both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 in the provided data), I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal with the best probability-to-risk profile.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Visitors have a 100% win rate and average 3.0 points per match; they score 2.0 goals per game and concede none (0.0). At half-time the visitors are level in 100% of cases, while in the second half they score an average of 2.0 goals, which suggests decisive outcomes occur after the break. Hosts generate a lot of chances (xG 2.68 and 24.33 shots per match) but have a low conversion rate of 7%, yielding only 1.67 goals on average. Since hosts lead at the break in only 33% of matches, and visitors have a 25% shot conversion and 100% wins, the strongest signal is a half-time draw and a visitors’ victory at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ordabasy is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / game - Astana · 2 pts / game - Ordabasy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ordabasy is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Astana · 1.75 goals / game - Ordabasy
Ordabasy is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Astana · 0.75 goals / game - Ordabasy
Astana scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
Ordabasy scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Astana
Over / Under - Ordabasy
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Astana · 1.25 pts / game - Ordabasy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Astana
Ordabasy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Astana's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ordabasy. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Ordabasy?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 1:1 Ordabasy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Ordabasy?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Astana won 1, Ordabasy won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Ordabasy?
Astana score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ordabasy 1.75. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Astana's matches and 50% of Ordabasy's.
What form are Astana and Ordabasy in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Ordabasy 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Ordabasy?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.