Aston Villa vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aston Villa play Arsenal in Premier League (England). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 13:30. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Arsenal: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aston Villa scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Arsenal scores 1.87 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aston Villa 58%, Arsenal 47%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 53%, Arsenal 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Arsenal has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.47. Aston Villa: 12.7 shots per match, Arsenal: 14.6.

Match halves

Aston Villa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.92. Arsenal: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.08.

Goals by minute

Aston Villa: 76-90+ (14 goals). Arsenal: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Aston VillaArsenal
15Shots15
Aston VillaArsenal
6Shots on target9
Aston VillaArsenal
1.64xG1.98
Aston VillaArsenal
3Corners3
Aston VillaArsenal
38Dangerous attacks57
Aston VillaArsenal
10Fouls8
Aston VillaArsenal
0Cards2
Aston VillaArsenal

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Aston VillaArsenal
1.47Goals scored / match1.87
Aston VillaArsenal
1.29Goals conceded / match0.71
Aston VillaArsenal
54%Average possession56%
Aston VillaArsenal
4.47Shots on target / match4.92
Aston VillaArsenal

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.71Shots per match14.55
Aston VillaArsenal
4.47Shots on target4.92
Aston VillaArsenal
11.6%Shot conversion12.8%
Aston VillaArsenal
54%Possession56%
Aston VillaArsenal
1.47xG for1.7
Aston VillaArsenal
1.46xG against0.95
Aston VillaArsenal

Shooting quality

Aston Villa: BalancedArsenal: Dominant
Aston VillaArsenal
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arsenal is 114% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa · 3 pts / match - Arsenal

Aston Villa
LLDWW
Season result split
50% W21% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-8-11
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-2-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Arsenal
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
68% W18% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
26-7-5
2.24 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arsenal is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.87 goals / match - Arsenal

Arsenal is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Aston Villa · 0.71 goals / match - Arsenal

Aston Villa scoring profile: mixed

Aston Villa scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

Arsenal scoring profile: very strong

Arsenal scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

56Goals scored (season)71
Aston VillaArsenal
49Goals conceded (season)27
Aston VillaArsenal
2.76Average goals in match2.58
Aston VillaArsenal
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Aston VillaArsenal
8Goals conceded (last 5)1
Aston VillaArsenal

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal92%
Aston VillaArsenal
45%2 goals55%
Aston VillaArsenal
18%3 goals24%
Aston VillaArsenal
11%4 goals13%
Aston VillaArsenal

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal50%
Aston VillaArsenal
32%2 goals18%
Aston VillaArsenal
16%3 goals3%
Aston VillaArsenal
5%4 goals0%
Aston VillaArsenal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time16%
Aston VillaArsenal
8%BTTS in both halves5%
Aston VillaArsenal
37%Scored in both halves37%
Aston VillaArsenal

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Aston VillaArsenal
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Aston VillaArsenal
80%BTTS - last 520%
Aston VillaArsenal

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Aston VillaArsenal
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Aston VillaArsenal
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Aston VillaArsenal

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Aston VillaArsenal
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Aston VillaArsenal
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Aston VillaArsenal

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arsenal is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.84 pts / match - Arsenal

Aston Villa - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Arsenal - half-time state
47% leading42% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.84
Aston VillaArsenal
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Aston VillaArsenal
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
Aston VillaArsenal
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.05
Aston VillaArsenal
50%Clean sheet before half-time74%
Aston VillaArsenal
53%No goal before half-time37%
Aston VillaArsenal

After half-time (2nd half)

1.68Points per match (2nd half)1.82
Aston VillaArsenal
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)1.08
Aston VillaArsenal
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Aston VillaArsenal
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Aston VillaArsenal
58%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Aston VillaArsenal
37%No goal after half-time34%
Aston VillaArsenal

Aston Villa - second-half results

45% W34% R21% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arsenal - second-half results

47% W39% R13% P
70
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aston Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Arsenal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
6
5
16-30
11
9
31-45
11
10
46-60
10
7
61-75
14
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Arsenal
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
6
2
16-30
16
6
31-45
15
3
46-60
10
5
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+87%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Arsenal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Aston VillaLigaArsenal
Average goals in match 2.762.75 2.58
Both teams scored 58%56% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%55% 53%
Clean sheets 24%26% 50%
Goal before half-time 74%72% 74%
Goal after half-time 79%79% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Aston Villa 0 - 0 - 1 Arsenal. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 2:1 Arsenal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Aston Villa score 1.47 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.87. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Aston Villa's matches and 47% of Arsenal's.

What form are Aston Villa and Arsenal in?

Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Arsenal 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aston Villa vs Arsenal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.