Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: match statistics
Aston Villa presents decidedly better home form with 67% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. Brighton has weak away results – only 17% wins and a negative balance of -5, losing half of their away matches. In the last five matches, Villa earned 2 points per game, while Brighton only managed 1 point, highlighting the hosts' superior form. xG statistics also favor Aston Villa (1.62 vs 1.40), suggesting better quality of created chances. Brighton has defensive problems on the road, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per match, which gives the hosts a real chance for full points given Villa's solid offense. A draw is possible due to Brighton's tendency to split points (33% draws away), but form and statistics point to an Aston Villa victory.
Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aston Villa play Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League (England). The match date is 11 February 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Brighton & Hove Albion: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aston Villa scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.37 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aston Villa 58%, Brighton & Hove Albion 55%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 53%, Brighton & Hove Albion 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Brighton & Hove Albion has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.47. Aston Villa: 12.7 shots per match, Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.0.
Match halves
Aston Villa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.92. Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Aston Villa: 76-90+ (14 goals). Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Aston Villa presents decidedly better home form with 67% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. Brighton has weak away results – only 17% wins and a negative balance of -5, losing half of their away matches. In the last five matches, Villa earned 2 points per game, while Brighton only managed 1 point, highlighting the hosts' superior form. xG statistics also favor Aston Villa (1.62 vs 1.40), suggesting better quality of created chances. Brighton has defensive problems on the road, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per match, which gives the hosts a real chance for full points given Villa's solid offense. A draw is possible due to Brighton's tendency to split points (33% draws away), but form and statistics point to an Aston Villa victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aston Villa is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.2 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.37 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.21 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aston Villa
Over / Under — Brighton & Hove Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.76 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aston Villa 1 - 0 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 1:0 Brighton & Hove Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Aston Villa score 1.47 goals per game on average and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.37. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Aston Villa's matches and 55% of Brighton & Hove Albion's.
What form are Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The statistical background for Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.