Aston Villa vs Chelsea: match statistics
Chelsea presents better offensive form with 49 goals in the season and an average of 1.86 goals per away match, while Aston Villa has scored only 38 goals with an average of 1.43 goals in home matches. The form of the last five meetings clearly favors the visitors – Chelsea gained 1.6 points per match with a 2-2-1 record, whereas the hosts earned only 1.0 point with just one victory. Aston Villa is in a crisis, evidenced by a series of two draws and two defeats in their last four home matches. Chelsea has higher shot accuracy (15% vs 10%) and finishes matches without scoring a goal less frequently (7% vs 29%). Possession also speaks in favor of the visitors (57% vs 55%), and their standing in xG (1.47 vs 1.61 for the hosts) suggests balanced quality of created chances, but better finishing efficiency on Chelsea's side. Considering all these factors, a victory for the visitors seems the most likely scenario.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aston Villa played against Chelsea in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Aston Villa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Chelsea has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Aston Villa scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.07. Chelsea scores 1.75 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Aston Villa's games and 68% of Chelsea's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 64%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Chelsea has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.48 per game. Aston Villa takes 12.7 shots per game, while Chelsea takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Aston Villa leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Chelsea leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aston Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Chelsea, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chelsea presents better offensive form with 49 goals in the season and an average of 1.86 goals per away match, while Aston Villa has scored only 38 goals with an average of 1.43 goals in home matches. The form of the last five meetings clearly favors the visitors – Chelsea gained 1.6 points per match with a 2-2-1 record, whereas the hosts earned only 1.0 point with just one victory. Aston Villa is in a crisis, evidenced by a series of two draws and two defeats in their last four home matches. Chelsea has higher shot accuracy (15% vs 10%) and finishes matches without scoring a goal less frequently (7% vs 29%). Possession also speaks in favor of the visitors (57% vs 55%), and their standing in xG (1.47 vs 1.61 for the hosts) suggests balanced quality of created chances, but better finishing efficiency on Chelsea's side. Considering all these factors, a victory for the visitors seems the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chelsea is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Aston Villa · 1.6 pts / game - Chelsea
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1.75 goals / game - Chelsea
Aston Villa is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1.18 goals / game - Chelsea
Aston Villa scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Chelsea scores in 93% of games (26 of 28 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Chelsea
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Aston Villa · 1.71 pts / game - Chelsea
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 43%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aston Villa
Chelsea
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.77 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Aston Villa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Chelsea. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Chelsea?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 1:4 Chelsea. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Chelsea?
Aston Villa score 1.36 goals per game on average and Chelsea 1.75. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Aston Villa's matches and 68% of Chelsea's.
What form are Aston Villa and Chelsea in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chelsea 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Chelsea?
The statistical background for Aston Villa vs Chelsea — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.