Aston Villa vs Leeds United: match statistics
Aston Villa demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 69% win rate and a +9 goal difference, while Leeds United achieves only an 8% win rate in away games and records a negative goal difference of -13. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.77, which compared to the 2.08 goals conceded by Leeds away gives Aston Villa a clear advantage. The form of both teams also favors the hosts – Villa averages 1.4 points per game in the last five matches, while Leeds only 1.2 points. Additionally, Leeds fails to score in 38% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense (38% clean sheets), suggests difficulties for the visitors in finding the net. Higher shot accuracy, possession (54% vs 44%), and better xG statistics (1.6 vs 1.21) further confirm Aston Villa's dominance, who should comfortably win this encounter.
Aston Villa vs Leeds United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aston Villa played against Leeds United in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Aston Villa has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Leeds United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Aston Villa scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.04. Leeds United scores 1.38 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Aston Villa's games and 65% of Leeds United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 62%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aston Villa has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.36 per game. Aston Villa takes 12.5 shots per game, while Leeds United takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Aston Villa leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Leeds United leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aston Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Leeds United, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aston Villa demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 69% win rate and a +9 goal difference, while Leeds United achieves only an 8% win rate in away games and records a negative goal difference of -13. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.77, which compared to the 2.08 goals conceded by Leeds away gives Aston Villa a clear advantage. The form of both teams also favors the hosts – Villa averages 1.4 points per game in the last five matches, while Leeds only 1.2 points. Additionally, Leeds fails to score in 38% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense (38% clean sheets), suggests difficulties for the visitors in finding the net. Higher shot accuracy, possession (54% vs 44%), and better xG statistics (1.6 vs 1.21) further confirm Aston Villa's dominance, who should comfortably win this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leeds United is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Aston Villa · 1.6 pts / game - Leeds United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1.73 goals / game - Leeds United
Aston Villa scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
Leeds United scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Leeds United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leeds United is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Aston Villa · 1.35 pts / game - Leeds United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Leeds United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aston Villa
Leeds United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.46 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Aston Villa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Leeds United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 1:1 Leeds United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
Aston Villa score 1.42 goals per game on average and Leeds United 1.38. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Aston Villa's matches and 65% of Leeds United's.
What form are Aston Villa and Leeds United in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Leeds United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.