Atalanta vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atalanta played against Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on December 28, 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Atalanta has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Inter Milan has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Atalanta scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.13. Inter Milan scores 2.27 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Atalanta's games and 47% of Inter Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 67%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.65 per game. Atalanta takes 15.0 shots per game, while Inter Milan takes 17.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Atalanta leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Inter Milan leads at halftime in 53% and scores 1.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atalanta's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Inter Milan, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
AtalantaInter Milan
7Shots15
AtalantaInter Milan
0Shots on target4
AtalantaInter Milan
0.71xG1.6
AtalantaInter Milan
4Corners7
AtalantaInter Milan
35Dangerous attacks51
AtalantaInter Milan
8Fouls12
AtalantaInter Milan
2Cards1
AtalantaInter Milan

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

AtalantaInter Milan
1.25Goals scored / game2.27
AtalantaInter Milan
1.13Goals allowed / game0.93
AtalantaInter Milan
58%Average possession60%
AtalantaInter Milan
4.63Shots on target / game5.6
AtalantaInter Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15Shots per game17.47
AtalantaInter Milan
4.63Shots on target5.6
AtalantaInter Milan
8.3%Shot conversion13%
AtalantaInter Milan
58%Possession60%
AtalantaInter Milan
1.65xG for1.9
AtalantaInter Milan
1.21xG against1.07
AtalantaInter Milan

Shooting quality

Atalanta: DominantInter Milan: Dominant
AtalantaInter Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inter Milan is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Atalanta · 2.4 pts / game - Inter Milan

Atalanta
LWLWW
Season result split
31% W44% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-4
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Inter Milan
WLWWW
Season result split
73% W0% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-0-4
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 82% better for: goals scored per game.

1.25 goals / game - Atalanta · 2.27 goals / game - Inter Milan

Inter Milan is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.13 goals / game - Atalanta · 0.93 goals / game - Inter Milan

Atalanta scoring profile: strong

Atalanta scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).

Inter Milan scoring profile: very strong

Inter Milan scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 meczów), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)34
AtalantaInter Milan
18Goals conceded (season)14
AtalantaInter Milan
2.38Average goals per game3.2
AtalantaInter Milan
7Goals scored (last 5)10
AtalantaInter Milan
7Goals conceded (last 5)2
AtalantaInter Milan

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal93%
AtalantaInter Milan
25%2 goals73%
AtalantaInter Milan
13%3 goals33%
AtalantaInter Milan
6%4 goals20%
AtalantaInter Milan

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal53%
AtalantaInter Milan
19%2 goals20%
AtalantaInter Milan
19%3 goals13%
AtalantaInter Milan
0%4 goals7%
AtalantaInter Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time20%
AtalantaInter Milan
0%BTTS in both halves7%
AtalantaInter Milan
19%Scored in both halves53%
AtalantaInter Milan

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
AtalantaInter Milan
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
AtalantaInter Milan
60%BTTS - last 520%
AtalantaInter Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
AtalantaInter Milan
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
AtalantaInter Milan
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
AtalantaInter Milan

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
AtalantaInter Milan
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
AtalantaInter Milan
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
AtalantaInter Milan

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Milan is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / game - Atalanta · 1.87 pts / game - Inter Milan

Atalanta - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
Inter Milan - half-time state
53% leading27% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per game (1st half)1.87
AtalantaInter Milan
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.93
AtalantaInter Milan
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
AtalantaInter Milan
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.33
AtalantaInter Milan
56%Clean sheet before half-time73%
AtalantaInter Milan
56%No goal before half-time27%
AtalantaInter Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.87
AtalantaInter Milan
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
AtalantaInter Milan
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
AtalantaInter Milan
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.87
AtalantaInter Milan
56%Clean sheet after half-time60%
AtalantaInter Milan
44%No goal after half-time27%
AtalantaInter Milan

Atalanta - second-half results

31% W56% D13% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inter Milan - second-half results

53% W27% D20% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atalanta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Inter Milan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
5
16-30
6
4
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
7
2
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
208%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AtalantaLigaInter Milan
Average goals per game 2.382.34 3.20
Both teams scored 63%47% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%44% 67%
Clean sheets 25%32% 47%
Goal before half-time 75%63% 80%
Goal after half-time 69%75% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AtalantaYellow cardSead Kolašinac
  2. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Yunus MusahOff: Davide Zappacosta
  3. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Kamal Deen SulemanaOff: Mario Pašalić
  4. Inter MilanSubstitutionOn: Francesco Pio EspositoOff: Marcus Thuram
  5. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Lorenzo BernasconiOff: Nicola Zalewski
  6. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Lazar Vujadin SamardžićOff: Sead Kolašinac
  7. Inter MilanYellow cardAlessandro Bastoni
  8. AtalantaYellow cardKamal Deen Sulemana
  9. Inter MilanSubstitutionOn: Davide FrattesiOff: Piotr Zieliński
  10. Inter MilanSubstitutionOn: Andy DioufOff: Lautaro Javier Martínez

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Federico La PennaMatches officiated: 14
3.93Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins21%Draws28%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Atalanta vs Inter Milan?

The Serie A match finished Atalanta 0:1 Inter Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Inter Milan?

Atalanta score 1.25 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 2.27. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Atalanta's matches and 47% of Inter Milan's.

What form are Atalanta and Inter Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Inter Milan 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Inter Milan?

The statistical background for Atalanta vs Inter Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.