Atalanta vs Roma: match statistics
This fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair. At home, Atalanta displays a high draw rate (44%), averaging 2.22 goals per game with a solid 1.8 xG, highlighting their offensive potential. Roma boasts an impressive 63% win rate on the road but is characterized by a complete absence of draws (0%), having dropped points in two of their last eight away fixtures. Both sides hold identical form over their last 5 matches (1.8 PPG) and boast similar scoring averages. The xG statistics (1.8 vs 1.5) and possession figures (56% vs 57%) are comparable, suggesting tactical parity. Given Atalanta's tendency to draw at home and the balanced form of both squads, a share of the spoils is the most probable scenario, with a slight edge to the hosts due to home-field advantage.
Atalanta vs Roma: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atalanta played against Roma in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Atalanta has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Roma has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Atalanta scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.12. Roma scores 1.18 and allows 0.65. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Atalanta's games and 29% of Roma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 29%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atalanta has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.57 per game. Atalanta takes 14.5 shots per game, while Roma takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Atalanta leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Roma leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atalanta's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Roma, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair. At home, Atalanta displays a high draw rate (44%), averaging 2.22 goals per game with a solid 1.8 xG, highlighting their offensive potential. Roma boasts an impressive 63% win rate on the road but is characterized by a complete absence of draws (0%), having dropped points in two of their last eight away fixtures. Both sides hold identical form over their last 5 matches (1.8 PPG) and boast similar scoring averages. The xG statistics (1.8 vs 1.5) and possession figures (56% vs 57%) are comparable, suggesting tactical parity. Given Atalanta's tendency to draw at home and the balanced form of both squads, a share of the spoils is the most probable scenario, with a slight edge to the hosts due to home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atalanta | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atalanta is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Atalanta · 1.2 pts / game - Roma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Roma is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Atalanta · 0.65 goals / game - Roma
Atalanta scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
Roma scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atalanta
Over / Under - Roma
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Roma is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Atalanta · 1.59 pts / game - Roma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Roma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atalanta
Roma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atalanta | Liga | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.29 | 2.32 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 43% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 32% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 64% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atalanta vs Roma?
The Serie A match finished Atalanta 1:0 Roma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Roma?
Atalanta score 1.18 goals per game on average and Roma 1.18. The Serie A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Atalanta's matches and 29% of Roma's.
What form are Atalanta and Roma in?
Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Roma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Roma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.