Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Sandro CabassiData current as of September 19, 2026

Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella: match statistics

Athletic Carpi crest
Athletic Carpi
1 : 2half-time 1:0
Cittadella crest
Cittadella

Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Athletic Carpi played against Cittadella in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on September 13, 2026. Venue: Stadio Sandro Cabassi. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Athletic Carpi has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Cittadella has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Athletic Carpi scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 2.00. Cittadella scores 1.67 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 2.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Athletic Carpi's games and 33% of Cittadella's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cittadella has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.71 per game. Athletic Carpi takes 12.0 shots per game, while Cittadella takes 15.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Cittadella leads at halftime in 100% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Athletic Carpi's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Cittadella, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.00 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Cittadella remain unbeaten this season, having won all 3 of their matches so far. Across their last five games, they have recorded 4 wins and a draw, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 4. Athletic Carpi have been more inconsistent: they have scored 9 goals in their last five matches but also conceded 9, while their average of 3 goals conceded at home points to major defensive issues. The hosts create plenty of chances, averaging 15 shots, 9 shots on target and an xG of 2.01 at home, but they also allow opponents an xG of 2.02. Cittadella are yet to concede away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches, with opponents averaging an xG of 1.47, giving them a significant defensive edge. Although Carpi can pose a threat thanks to their high 20% conversion rate, the visitors’ more consistent form and considerably more reliable defense point towards an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is reinforced by their current form: BTTS landed in 80% of Athletic Carpi’s last 5 matches and in 60% of Cittadella’s. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors scored 2.2 goals per match and conceded just 0.8. Cittadella have an extremely solid defensive record this season, averaging 0.0 goals conceded and recording a 100% clean-sheet rate, which clearly limits confidence in the pick; however, their recent xG against stands at 1.27. Athletic Carpi create plenty of chances at home, recording an xG of 2.07, with an average of 17.5 shots and 7 shots on target, so they should find a way to score. BTTS - Yes is only slightly preferred, as both teams’ attacking form over their last five matches outweighs the visitors’ very small sample of seasonal clean sheets.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Over 1.5 is strongly supported by current form: in their last 5 matches, Athletic Carpi averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, producing 3.6 goals per game. Over the same period, Cittadella scored 2.2 goals per match, while its games averaged 3.0 goals. The attacking potential is also reflected in the xG figures: 1.91 for the hosts and 1.92 for the visitors across their last five appearances, with Carpi recording 1.75 xG conceded. Both teams saw Over 2.5 land in 60% of their last five matches, but Cittadella's excellent defensive record to date, with an average of 0.0 goals conceded, limits confidence in the higher lines. Therefore, the safest and strongest selection is Over 1.5, with a projected 2.70 goals offering a clear edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Cittadella are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding just 0.8, while Athletic Carpi have allowed opponents 1.8 goals per game. The visitors led at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with just 40% for Carpi, and their average of 1.4 goals before half-time exceeds the hosts’ 0.8. Cittadella’s advantage is also evident after the interval: they have not conceded a single goal in the second half across their last five matches and won the second half in 60% of them. Athletic Carpi have stronger home-season metrics, including an xG of 2.07 and 7 shots on target per match compared with the visitors’ 1.48 and 4, but Cittadella’s recent attacking efficiency and defensive solidity provide stronger support for an HT/FT scenario in which they lead at the break and secure the full-time win.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
Athletic CarpiCittadella
8Shots22
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5Shots on target6
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.2xG2.55
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2Corners7
Athletic CarpiCittadella
48Dangerous attacks105
Athletic CarpiCittadella
12Fouls13
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2Cards1
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.67Goals scored / game1.67
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2Goals allowed / game0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
44%Average possession49%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5.67Shots on target / game6
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game15.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5.67Shots on target6
Athletic CarpiCittadella
13.9%Shot conversion10.9%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
44%Possession49%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.71xG for1.87
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.82xG against1.14
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Shooting quality

Athletic Carpi: Counter-attackingCittadella: Attacking
Athletic CarpiCittadella
Accuracy (shots on target)47%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cittadella is 126% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 3 pts / game - Cittadella

Athletic Carpi
LDW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Cittadella
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cittadella is 506% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 0.33 goals / game - Cittadella

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).

Cittadella scoring profile: very strong

Cittadella scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

5Goals scored (season)5
Athletic CarpiCittadella
6Goals conceded (season)1
Athletic CarpiCittadella
3.67Average goals per game2
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Athletic CarpiCittadella
6Goals conceded (last 5)1
Athletic CarpiCittadella

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%2 goals67%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%3 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%2 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%3 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Scored in both halves33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%BTTS - last 533%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cittadella is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 3 pts / game - Cittadella

Athletic Carpi - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing
Cittadella - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)3
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2.33Average goals (1st half)1.67
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%No goal before half-time0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per game (2nd half)1.67
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%No goal after half-time67%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cittadella - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Athletic Carpi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.33
Goals scored / game1.30.3
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.31.3
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals67%33%
Clean sheet33%33%
No goal0%67%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cittadella - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.67
Goals scored / game1.30.3
Goals allowed / game0.30.0
Average goals per game1.70.3
1 goal100%33%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal0%67%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Cittadella
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
142%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
250%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Cittadella

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.81
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
209%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
28%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 60% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Athletic CarpiLigaCittadella
Average goals per game 3.672.00 2.00
Both teams scored 67%47% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%37% 33%
Clean sheets 33%33% 67%
Goal before half-time 100%50% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%63% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.00
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / game
0.80
Away goals / game
+50%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Athletic CarpiYellow cardDavide Zagnoni
  2. Athletic CarpiGoalMartin MontipòAssist: Leonardo Morosini
  3. CittadellaYellow cardEmanuele Anastasia
  4. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Luca NesiOff: Giovanni Vaglica
  5. Athletic CarpiYellow cardAndrea Astrologo
  6. CittadellaGoalLorenzo PaolucciAssist: Diego Falcinelli
  7. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Niccolò BagattiOff: Federico Casarini
  8. CittadellaSubstitutionOn: Michael FabbroOff: Joseph Ekuban
  9. CittadellaSubstitutionOn: Giulio FrisennaOff: Andrea Barberis
  10. CittadellaGoalMirko Antonucci
  11. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Abdoulaye SallOff: Martin Montipò

FAQ

What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?

The Serie C Group A match finished Athletic Carpi 1:2 Cittadella. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?

Athletic Carpi score 1.67 goals per game on average and Cittadella 1.67. The Serie C Group A average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 33% of Cittadella's.

What form are Athletic Carpi and Cittadella in?

Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Cittadella 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?

The statistical background for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.