Athletic Club Bilbao vs Celta de Vigo: match statistics
Athletic Club Bilbao vs Celta de Vigo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Athletic Club Bilbao played against Celta de Vigo in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: San Mamés Barria. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Athletic Club Bilbao has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Celta de Vigo has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Athletic Club Bilbao scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.47. Celta de Vigo scores 1.42 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Athletic Club Bilbao's games and 64% of Celta de Vigo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 47%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Club Bilbao has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.23 per game. Athletic Club Bilbao takes 13.5 shots per game, while Celta de Vigo takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Athletic Club Bilbao leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Celta de Vigo leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
Athletic Club Bilbao's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Celta de Vigo, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Club Bilbao holds a small but meaningful advantage in chance creation: home xG for Athletic is 1.67 versus Celta’s away xG of 1.09, with 14.39 shots per game (4.78 on target) compared to 8.94 shots (3.78 on target). However, the visitors are markedly more efficient — Celta’s conversion rate is 14% versus Athletic’s 8%, and Celta have 51 goals this season compared to 40 for the hosts. Defensively, Athletic better limits the quality of opposition chances (xG against 0.97 at home vs 1.50 xG against for Celta away), although average goals conceded are similar: 1.11 (Athletic at home) vs 1.06 (Celta away). Form is comparable — both teams have scored 7 and conceded 7 in the last 5 matches and have 2 wins in that period — suggesting an even but active contest. Considering Athletic’s advantage in xG and shot volume and Celta’s higher efficiency, I forecast a narrow home win (1) with probability distribution: 45% home, 30% draw, 25% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams display strong seasonal BTTS figures: Athletic 67% and Celta 61%, versus the league average of 56%. Athletic averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per match, while Celta scores 1.28 and concedes 1.06, indicating Athletic is more prone to conceding (1.56) and thus gives opponents opportunities. In the last 5 matches Athletic has only 40% BTTS versus Celta’s 60%, but both teams scored 7 goals in those 5 fixtures (1.4 per game), and Athletic produced 1.28 xG against Celta’s 0.92 xG, which suggests genuine attacking potential. Additionally Athletic averages 11.44 shots and 4.44 on target per match, Celta 8.94 and 3.78, with an equal conversion rate of 14%, and Athletic’s low clean sheets (17% vs Celta’s 33%) increase the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering these numbers, I assess BTTS at 68% for 'Yes' and 32% for 'No' and recommend a 'Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I estimate Athletic to score around 1.44 goals and Celta around 1.22, totaling ~2.66 goals (Athletic xG_for 1.37 vs Celta allows xG 1.50; Celta xG_for 1.09 vs Athletic allows xG 1.35). Athletic score over 1.5 goals at home in 94% of matches, Celta in 67% — average 80.5% — therefore I rate Over 1.5 at 82%. For the 2.5 line, Poisson with λ=2.66 gives about a 49.6% chance of more than 2.5 goals, and seasonal Over2.5 figures are 50% for Athletic and 44% for Celta, so I set a 50/50 split for over/under 2.5. The 3.5 line is unlikely: seasonal Over3.5 is 28% (Athletic) and 22% (Celta), and Poisson indicates ≈27.6% for ≥4 goals, so Over3.5 28% and Under 72%. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side Over) due to combined xG 2.66, high home Over1.5 rate for Athletic (94%) and average 11.44 shots for Athletic and 8.94 shots for Celta.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time analysis points to a draw: the home side scores on average 0.67 goals by half-time, the visitors 0.33, and the share of HT draws is 39% for Athletic and 44% for Celta, so I estimate about a 41% chance of an HT draw. The Full-Time outcome favors Celta — the visitors win 44% of matches versus 28% for Athletic and collect 1.67 points per match compared to 1.11 for the hosts, which increases the probability of a turnaround after the break. The second half leans toward decisive results: Celta averages 1.61 points in second halves versus 1.33 for Athletic, and at home there was at least one goal after the break in 100% of matches and for visitors in 83%, raising the likelihood of goal changes after half-time. Athletic create more chances (on average 11.44 shots and 1.37 xG versus 8.94 shots and 1.09 xG for Celta), so although an HT draw is probable, the numbers indicate a greater chance of Celta securing the win in the second half; therefore I view X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club Bilbao | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celta de Vigo is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao · 1.42 goals / game - Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.47 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao · 1.31 goals / game - Celta de Vigo
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 64% of games (23 of 36 meczów), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 meczów).
Celta de Vigo scores in 83% of games (30 of 36 meczów), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Club Bilbao
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Athletic Club Bilbao
Celta de Vigo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club Bilbao | Liga | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.58 | 2.69 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Athletic Club Bilbao's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Celta de Vigo. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club Bilbao vs Celta de Vigo?
The La Liga match finished Athletic Club Bilbao 1:1 Celta de Vigo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club Bilbao vs Celta de Vigo?
Athletic Club Bilbao score 1.11 goals per game on average and Celta de Vigo 1.42. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Athletic Club Bilbao's matches and 64% of Celta de Vigo's.
What form are Athletic Club Bilbao and Celta de Vigo in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club Bilbao have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Celta de Vigo 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club Bilbao vs Celta de Vigo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.