Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: match statistics
Athletic Club Bilbao shows inconsistent home form with a 50% win rate, but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1.2 points per game. Real Sociedad is in significantly better form, averaging 2.2 points per game in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The hosts have an advantage with 30% clean sheets at home, while the visitors have failed to keep a single clean sheet away. The xG statistics are close (1.61 vs 1.55 for the visitors), suggesting a similar level of chance creation. Considering Real Sociedad's better current form, but the home advantage of the hosts and the fact that the visitors win only 20% of away matches, a draw seems the most likely outcome in this Basque derby.
Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Athletic Club Bilbao played against Real Sociedad in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Athletic Club Bilbao has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Real Sociedad has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Athletic Club Bilbao scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 1.43. Real Sociedad scores 1.38 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Athletic Club Bilbao's games and 81% of Real Sociedad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Club Bilbao has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.54 per game. Athletic Club Bilbao takes 13.8 shots per game, while Real Sociedad takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Athletic Club Bilbao leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Real Sociedad leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Athletic Club Bilbao's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Real Sociedad, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Club Bilbao shows inconsistent home form with a 50% win rate, but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1.2 points per game. Real Sociedad is in significantly better form, averaging 2.2 points per game in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The hosts have an advantage with 30% clean sheets at home, while the visitors have failed to keep a single clean sheet away. The xG statistics are close (1.61 vs 1.55 for the visitors), suggesting a similar level of chance creation. Considering Real Sociedad's better current form, but the home advantage of the hosts and the fact that the visitors win only 20% of away matches, a draw seems the most likely outcome in this Basque derby.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club Bilbao | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Sociedad is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Athletic Club Bilbao · 2.2 pts / game - Real Sociedad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Sociedad is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao · 1.38 goals / game - Real Sociedad
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 meczów).
Real Sociedad scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Club Bilbao
Over / Under - Real Sociedad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Athletic Club Bilbao
Real Sociedad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club Bilbao | Liga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.38 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Athletic Club Bilbao's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Real Sociedad. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
The La Liga match finished Athletic Club Bilbao 1:1 Real Sociedad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
Athletic Club Bilbao score 0.95 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad 1.38. The La Liga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Athletic Club Bilbao's matches and 81% of Real Sociedad's.
What form are Athletic Club Bilbao and Real Sociedad in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club Bilbao have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Real Sociedad 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
The statistical background for Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.