ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal: match statistics
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
ATK Mohun Bagan played against East Bengal in Indian Super League (India). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
ATK Mohun Bagan has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. East Bengal has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
ATK Mohun Bagan scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 0.64. East Bengal scores 2.45 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of ATK Mohun Bagan's games and 55% of East Bengal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 73%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
ATK Mohun Bagan has the higher season xG average, 2.31 to 2.22 per game. ATK Mohun Bagan takes 18.8 shots per game, while East Bengal takes 19.0.
First-half and second-half trends
ATK Mohun Bagan leads at halftime in 55% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. East Bengal leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.45 after halftime.
When the teams score
ATK Mohun Bagan's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For East Bengal, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Indian Super League games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams have identical season records of 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, but East Bengal have scored more goals (27 vs 20) and netted 11 goals in the last 5 matches versus ATK Mohun Bagan’s 6. The home side generate higher expected goals (avg xG 2.48), average 20.14 shots with 6.86 on target, maintain 68% possession and concede just 0.71 goals per game with 43% clean sheets. The visitors on the road average 16.5 shots per game, 8 on target and a higher conversion rate of 15%, translating to an average of 2.5 goals away and 0% matches without scoring. The defensive gap is visible in xG against (ATK 0.95 vs East 1.42) and lower goals conceded by the hosts (0.71 vs 1.00), although East have better recent point form over the last 5 (avg 2.2 points per game vs the hosts’ 1.8). Considering the hosts’ game control, higher xG and defensive stability versus the visitors’ shooting efficiency, I forecast a narrow home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS probability at 75% (Yes) and 25% (No), therefore I recommend the "Yes" market. The strongest signal is East Bengal with a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 27 goals scored (avg. 2.50 per match); in the last 5 matches they scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and have no clean sheets this season (0%), which strongly indicates they both score and concede. ATK Mohun Bagan has significant offensive potential (20 goals this season, 2.44 per match, xG_for 2.25) but a better home defense (avg. 0.78 goals conceded and 56% clean sheets), hence their seasonal BTTS is only 44%. In the last 5 meetings both teams have 60% BTTS, and average xG in that period is about 1.92 for the home side and 1.91 for the away side, showing balanced chance creation. Considering East Bengal’s 100% BTTS, relatively high xG 2.25/2.09 and shots on target 8.0 vs 6.56, the Both Teams To Score scenario appears more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams possess potent attacks: ATK Mohun Bagan averages 2.44 goals per match and East Bengal 2.50; their seasonal xG are 2.25 (ATK) and 2.09 (East Bengal). Taking into account opponents’ average xG against (xG against 1.42 for East Bengal and 1.19 for ATK) I applied a simple averaging: (2.25+1.42)/2 = 1.84 for the home side and (2.09+1.19)/2 = 1.64 for the away side, yielding a total expected goals of 3.48. Seasonal rates confirm an offensive profile: East Bengal has 100% of matches with BTTS and 100% over 2.5 goals, while ATK has 78% of matches over 1.5 and 67% over 2.5, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. A Poisson model for a total of 3.48 suggests approximate probabilities of over 1.5 ≈86%, over 2.5 ≈68% and over 3.5 ≈46%, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals. Additionally, in the last 5 matches ATK averaged 1.2 goals and East Bengal 2.2, which further supports a forecast of at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts led at half-time in 5 of their matches so far (56%) and score an average of 1.11 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for the visitors, while conceding only 0.33 goals on average before the break. Overall the hosts have 13 first-half goals compared to the visitors' 3, indicating a clear advantage for the hosts in the opening 45 minutes. After the break the visitors are more active—averaging 2.0 goals in the second half and featuring in 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals after half-time; xG is similar (2.25 for the hosts vs. 2.09 for the visitors), so the visitors possess comeback capability. Nevertheless, the visitors have never led at half-time (0 occurrences) and average only 0.5 points earned by half-time versus 2.0 for the hosts, so the strongest signal is 1/1 (hosts leading at the break and winning) assigned a probability of 25%, while 1/2 (20%) and X/2 (15%) are realistic alternatives due to the visitors’ second-half pressure.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| ATK Mohun Bagan | East Bengal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
East Bengal is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - ATK Mohun Bagan · 2.2 pts / game - East Bengal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Bengal is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.82 goals / game - ATK Mohun Bagan · 2.45 goals / game - East Bengal
ATK Mohun Bagan is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.64 goals / game - ATK Mohun Bagan · 0.82 goals / game - East Bengal
ATK Mohun Bagan scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while East Bengal keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).
East Bengal scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while ATK Mohun Bagan keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ATK Mohun Bagan
Over / Under - East Bengal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - ATK Mohun Bagan · 1.73 pts / game - East Bengal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ATK Mohun Bagan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
East Bengal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
ATK Mohun Bagan
East Bengal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| ATK Mohun Bagan | Liga | East Bengal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.45 | 2.45 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 42% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from ATK Mohun Bagan's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against East Bengal. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?
The Indian Super League match finished ATK Mohun Bagan 1:1 East Bengal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches ATK Mohun Bagan won 2, East Bengal won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?
ATK Mohun Bagan score 1.82 goals per game on average and East Bengal 2.45. The Indian Super League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 45% of ATK Mohun Bagan's matches and 55% of East Bengal's.
What form are ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal in?
Over the last 5 games ATK Mohun Bagan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and East Bengal 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?
The statistical background for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.