United States - MLSMercedes-Benz StadiumData current as of October 14, 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlanta United FC plays Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Recent form

Atlanta United FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Inter Miami has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlanta United FC scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.71. Inter Miami scores 2.43 and allows 1.79. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Atlanta United FC's games and 79% of Inter Miami's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 79%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inter Miami has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.39 per game. Atlanta United FC takes 12.8 shots per game, while Inter Miami takes 15.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlanta United FC leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Inter Miami leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlanta United FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Inter Miami, it is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.90)
(4.40)
(1.73)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.18Goals scored / game2.43
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.71Goals allowed / game1.79
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
51%Average possession57%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
4.04Shots on target / game6.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.82Shots per game15.32
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
4.04Shots on target6.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
9.2%Shot conversion15.9%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
51%Possession57%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.39xG for1.72
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.42xG against1.43
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Shooting quality

Atlanta United FC: BalancedInter Miami: Dominant
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
Accuracy (shots on target)32%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inter Miami is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.2 pts / game - Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC
LDWDL
Season result split
25% W21% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-15
0.96 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-8
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Inter Miami
DDDLW
Season result split
46% W36% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-5
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Miami is 106% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Atlanta United FC · 2.43 goals / game - Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.71 goals / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.79 goals / game - Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 games), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 games).

Inter Miami scoring profile: very strong

Inter Miami scores in 93% of games (26 of 28 games), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 games).

33Goals scored (season)68
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
48Goals conceded (season)50
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
2.89Average goals per game4.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal93%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
43%2 goals71%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
7%3 goals36%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0%4 goals21%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal82%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
57%2 goals68%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
21%3 goals18%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
4%4 goals11%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time54%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
7%BTTS in both halves25%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
29%Scored in both halves43%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
60%BTTS - last 580%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time71%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time68%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Miami is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.61 pts / game - Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC - half-time state
25% leading39% draw36% trailing
Inter Miami - half-time state
36% leading54% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.61
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0.46Goals scored (1st half)1.18
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.96
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
54%Clean sheet before half-time36%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
61%No goal before half-time29%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.43
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1.25
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.75Average goals (2nd half)2.25
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
39%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
43%No goal after half-time36%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

29% W25% D46% L
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Inter Miami - second-half results

39% W25% D36% L
45
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlanta United FC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Inter Miami - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
4
8
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
8
8
61-75
7
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Inter Miami
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
13
7
16-30
15
7
31-45
10
9
46-60
6
8
61-75
19
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.56
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Inter Miami

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
174%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United FCLigaInter Miami
Average goals per game▼ 2.893.26▲ 4.21
Both teams scored• 64%64%▲ 79%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 61%64%▲ 79%
Clean sheets▼ 11%20%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▼ 68%78%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time• 82%82%▲ 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlanta United FC's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Inter Miami. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami play?

Atlanta United FC face Inter Miami on October 17, 2026 in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?

Atlanta United FC score 1.18 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.43. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 79% of Inter Miami's.

What form are Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inter Miami 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?

The statistical background for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.