Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics
Atlanta shows solid form at home with a record of 67% home wins and just 0% losses this season. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match with a favorable xG of 1.54, and an impressive defense with 67% clean sheets and an average of just 0.33 goals conceded. Ferro Carril Oeste has a balanced away record (33% wins, draws, and losses), but their average xG of 1.16 in away matches is lower than the hosts' xG, suggesting less offensive potential. Additionally, the visitors have poorer recent overall form with only 1 point per game in their last five matches. Considering Atlanta's home advantage, their better form, and xG statistics, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlanta played against Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Atlanta has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Ferro Carril Oeste has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlanta scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.80. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.00 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 1.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Atlanta's games and 60% of Ferro Carril Oeste's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ferro Carril Oeste has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.37 per game. Atlanta takes 10.6 shots per game, while Ferro Carril Oeste takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlanta leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Ferro Carril Oeste leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlanta's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Ferro Carril Oeste, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.85 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlanta shows solid form at home with a record of 67% home wins and just 0% losses this season. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match with a favorable xG of 1.54, and an impressive defense with 67% clean sheets and an average of just 0.33 goals conceded. Ferro Carril Oeste has a balanced away record (33% wins, draws, and losses), but their average xG of 1.16 in away matches is lower than the hosts' xG, suggesting less offensive potential. Additionally, the visitors have poorer recent overall form with only 1 point per game in their last five matches. Considering Atlanta's home advantage, their better form, and xG statistics, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data suggests an elevated risk of goals from both sides: Atlanta has 0% clean sheets and concedes 1.5 goals on average, while Ferro has 0% no-goal matches this season with an average of 1.33 goals scored. On the other hand, Atlanta has a low goal average (0.5), but creates numerous chances (xG for 1.98, 16 shots and 4 on target per match), indicating breakthrough potential despite a very poor conversion rate (3%). Ferro's defense is not solid (xG against 1.38; 1.0 goal conceded on average), which supports the scenario that the hosts will score at least one goal. BTTS percentages are above the league average (Atlanta 50%, Ferro 67% vs 42% in the league), and over the last 5 matches, they stand at 40% and 60% respectively. The sum of signals (Ferro's likely goals + Atlanta's increasing chance creation) slightly tilts the forecast towards BTTS - Yes, although the margin is moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model suggests a moderate number of goals: Atlanta generates high xG (1.98), but has very poor efficiency (3%) and a low average goal output (0.5), so I adjust their offensive potential downward. Ferro has solid shooting parameters (xG 1.16) and a high conversion rate (15%), and Atlanta does not keep clean sheets (0%), which increases the visitors' chances of scoring. At the same time, the seasonal profile of both teams is clearly 'under': Atlanta has 100% under 2.5 and 100% under 3.5, while Ferro has 67% under 2.5 and 100% under 3.5. The B Nacional league is low-scoring (average 1.88 goals, only 32% over 2.5), which further supports a scenario of a maximum of 3 goals. Therefore, the strongest signal from the data is the Under 3.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT signal is a draw: in the last 5 matches, Atlanta went into halftime level in as many as 80% of cases, and their average goals scored by HT (0.6) and conceded (0.2) indicates a cautious, defensive start. Ferro has often been losing at the break in their last 5 matches (60%) and has a low scoredAVGHT (0.2), which further reduces the chance of a clear away lead in the first half. The league is low-scoring (averaging 1.88 goals per match) and has a high percentage of clean sheets (74%), which statistically favors draw scenarios, particularly 0-0/1-1. For FT, Ferro's quality advantage (PPG 1.33 vs 0.5; shot conversion 15% vs 3%) is balanced by Atlanta's superiority in chance creation (xG_for 1.98; 16 shots per match) and improved form (last5 PPG 1.4). The sum of this data paints the most likely picture of the match as evenly balanced, with a draw at halftime and no decisive outcome after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlanta is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Atlanta · 1 pts / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Atlanta · 1.2 goals / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Atlanta keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlanta
Over / Under - Ferro Carril Oeste
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Atlanta · 0.8 pts / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta | Liga | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.80 | 1.85 | ▲ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 42% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlanta's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ferro Carril Oeste. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlanta 0:1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta and Ferro Carril Oeste?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2, Ferro Carril Oeste won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlanta's matches and 60% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.
What form are Atlanta and Ferro Carril Oeste in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.