Atlante vs Tapatío: match statistics
Atlante holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 56% win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 2.11 goals per home game while conceding just 0.56, confirming their defensive solidity (44% clean sheets). Tapatío performs very poorly away from home – only an 11% win rate, 56% losses, and a negative -4 goal difference, while also not scoring often (0.89 goals on average). The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics: Atlante generates 2.25 xG at home, while Tapatío manages only 1.24 away. The visitors' recent form is better (2 PPG), but their away frailty and the hosts' dominance at their own stadium point to a certain victory for Atlante.
Atlante vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlante played against Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Atlante has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tapatío has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlante scores 2.06 goals per game and allows 0.78. Tapatío scores 1.56 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Atlante's games and 56% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 56%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlante has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.46 per game. Atlante takes 15.6 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlante leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlante's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 56% win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 2.11 goals per home game while conceding just 0.56, confirming their defensive solidity (44% clean sheets). Tapatío performs very poorly away from home – only an 11% win rate, 56% losses, and a negative -4 goal difference, while also not scoring often (0.89 goals on average). The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics: Atlante generates 2.25 xG at home, while Tapatío manages only 1.24 away. The visitors' recent form is better (2 PPG), but their away frailty and the hosts' dominance at their own stadium point to a certain victory for Atlante.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlante | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tapatío is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Atlante · 2 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
2.06 goals / game - Atlante · 1.56 goals / game - Tapatío
Atlante is 71% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.78 goals / game - Atlante · 1.33 goals / game - Tapatío
Atlante scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
Tapatío scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlante
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / game - Atlante · 1.5 pts / game - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlante
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlante | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.83 | 2.90 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlante's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tapatío. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlante vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Atlante 1:3 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlante vs Tapatío?
Atlante score 2.06 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.56. The Ascenso MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Atlante's matches and 56% of Tapatío's.
What form are Atlante and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Atlante have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tapatío 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlante vs Tapatío?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.