Mexico - Liga MXEstadio BanorteData current as of August 13, 2026

Atlante vs Toluca: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlante vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlante plays Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for August 15, 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte.

Recent form

Atlante has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Toluca has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlante scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.67. Toluca scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Atlante's games and 67% of Toluca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Toluca has the higher season xG average, 2.14 to 1.19 per game. Atlante takes 10.3 shots per game, while Toluca takes 19.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlante leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Toluca leads at halftime in 100% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlante's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Toluca, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga MX games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(5.47)
(3.94)
(1.57)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Goals scored / game2
AtlanteToluca
1.67Goals allowed / game1
AtlanteToluca
38%Average possession67%
AtlanteToluca
4.67Shots on target / game7
AtlanteToluca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.33Shots per game19
AtlanteToluca
4.67Shots on target7
AtlanteToluca
16.1%Shot conversion10.5%
AtlanteToluca
38%Possession67%
AtlanteToluca
1.19xG for2.14
AtlanteToluca
1.86xG against1.03
AtlanteToluca

Shooting quality

Atlante: Counter-attackingToluca: Dominant
AtlanteToluca
Accuracy (shots on target)45%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Toluca is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / game - Atlante · 2 pts / game - Toluca

Atlante
LDW
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Toluca
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.14Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Atlante · 2 goals / game - Toluca

Toluca is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.67 goals / game - Atlante · 1 goals / game - Toluca

Atlante scoring profile: very strong

Atlante scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).

Toluca scoring profile: very strong

Toluca scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)6
AtlanteToluca
5Goals conceded (season)3
AtlanteToluca
3.33Average goals per game3
AtlanteToluca
5Goals scored (last 5)6
AtlanteToluca
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
AtlanteToluca

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
AtlanteToluca
33%2 goals67%
AtlanteToluca
33%3 goals33%
AtlanteToluca
0%4 goals0%
AtlanteToluca

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
AtlanteToluca
67%2 goals33%
AtlanteToluca
0%3 goals0%
AtlanteToluca
0%4 goals0%
AtlanteToluca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
AtlanteToluca
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AtlanteToluca
33%Scored in both halves67%
AtlanteToluca

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
AtlanteToluca
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AtlanteToluca
100%BTTS - last 567%
AtlanteToluca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
AtlanteToluca
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
AtlanteToluca
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
AtlanteToluca

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AtlanteToluca
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AtlanteToluca
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AtlanteToluca

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Atlante · 3 pts / game - Toluca

Atlante - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Toluca - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)3
AtlanteToluca
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
AtlanteToluca
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
AtlanteToluca
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.67
AtlanteToluca
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
AtlanteToluca
67%No goal before half-time0%
AtlanteToluca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)2
AtlanteToluca
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
AtlanteToluca
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
AtlanteToluca
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
AtlanteToluca
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
AtlanteToluca
0%No goal after half-time33%
AtlanteToluca

Atlante - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Toluca - second-half results

67% W0% R33% P
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 67%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlante - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.331.33
Goals scored / game0.31.3
Goals allowed / game0.31.3
Average goals per game0.72.7
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Toluca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.002.00
Goals scored / game1.30.7
Goals allowed / game0.30.7
Average goals per game1.71.3
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal0%33%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlante
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlante

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

AtlanteLigaToluca
Average goals per game 3.332.89 3.00
Both teams scored 100%59% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%59% 67%
Clean sheets 0%22% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.52
Away goals / game
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defensive advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlante and Toluca play?

Atlante face Toluca on August 15, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Banorte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlante vs Toluca?

Atlante score 1.67 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.00. The Liga MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Atlante's matches and 67% of Toluca's.

What form are Atlante and Toluca in?

Over the last 5 games Atlante have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Toluca 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlante vs Toluca?

The statistical background for Atlante vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.