Atlas vs Atlético San Luis: match statistics
Atlas shows solid home form with a 45% win rate at their ground and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home match, and with a 15% conversion rate and an average of 11.18 shots per match, they possess an offensive edge. Atlético San Luis has poor away form with 50% losses and only a 42% win rate on the road, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match. Both teams have an identical point tally in their last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), but Atlas has a better clean sheet percentage at home (36% vs 33%). Considering the home advantage, the hosts' effectiveness at their venue, and the visitors' away struggles, Atlas has a higher probability of winning, although the evenly matched nature of their recent encounters does not rule out a draw.
Atlas vs Atlético San Luis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlas played against Atlético San Luis in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Atlas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Atlético San Luis has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlas scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.83. Atlético San Luis scores 1.52 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Atlas's games and 65% of Atlético San Luis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 61%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético San Luis has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.09 per game. Atlas takes 10.2 shots per game, while Atlético San Luis takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlas leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Atlético San Luis leads at halftime in 26% and scores 1.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlas's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Atlético San Luis, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlas shows solid home form with a 45% win rate at their ground and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home match, and with a 15% conversion rate and an average of 11.18 shots per match, they possess an offensive edge. Atlético San Luis has poor away form with 50% losses and only a 42% win rate on the road, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match. Both teams have an identical point tally in their last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), but Atlas has a better clean sheet percentage at home (36% vs 33%). Considering the home advantage, the hosts' effectiveness at their venue, and the visitors' away struggles, Atlas has a higher probability of winning, although the evenly matched nature of their recent encounters does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético San Luis is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Atlas · 1.52 goals / game - Atlético San Luis
Atlético San Luis is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.83 goals / game - Atlas · 1.7 goals / game - Atlético San Luis
Atlas scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Atlético San Luis scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlas
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlas is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / game - Atlas · 1.22 pts / game - Atlético San Luis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlas
Atlético San Luis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.13 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlas's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlético San Luis. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Atlético San Luis?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 3:2 Atlético San Luis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Atlético San Luis?
Atlas score 1.30 goals per game on average and Atlético San Luis 1.52. The Liga MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Atlas's matches and 65% of Atlético San Luis's.
What form are Atlas and Atlético San Luis in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético San Luis 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Atlético San Luis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlas vs Atlético San Luis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.