Atlas vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Guadalajara demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup, as confirmed by key statistics. The visitors boast an impressive 50% win rate in away matches and better form in their last 5 games (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts). Atlas records a poor shot conversion rate (15%) and a high rate of goals conceded at home (1.54 per match), which, given Guadalajara's defensive solidity (1.29 goals conceded away), poses a serious problem. The visitors also dominate in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and show a better average xG (1.49 vs 1.32), indicating higher quality of created chances. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors Guadalajara (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses vs 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The overall season balance shows that Guadalajara is a higher-class team (15 wins vs 9 for Atlas), which, combined with their solid away results, gives them a real chance of victory in this match.
Atlas vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlas play Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 02:05. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Atlas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Guadalajara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlas scores 1.17 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.75 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlas 50%, Guadalajara 53%. Over 2.5: Atlas 47%, Guadalajara 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.11. Atlas: 10.6 shots per match, Guadalajara: 16.1.
Match halves
Atlas: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.58. Guadalajara: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Atlas: 0-15 (8 goals). Guadalajara: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Guadalajara demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup, as confirmed by key statistics. The visitors boast an impressive 50% win rate in away matches and better form in their last 5 games (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts). Atlas records a poor shot conversion rate (15%) and a high rate of goals conceded at home (1.54 per match), which, given Guadalajara's defensive solidity (1.29 goals conceded away), poses a serious problem. The visitors also dominate in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and show a better average xG (1.49 vs 1.32), indicating higher quality of created chances. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors Guadalajara (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses vs 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The overall season balance shows that Guadalajara is a higher-class team (15 wins vs 9 for Atlas), which, combined with their solid away results, gives them a real chance of victory in this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlas is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlas · 1 pts / match - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Atlas · 1.75 goals / match - Guadalajara
Guadalajara is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Atlas · 1.23 goals / match - Guadalajara
Atlas scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlas
Over / Under — Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Atlas · 1.53 pts / match - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlas
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 2.91 | • 2.98 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlas 0 - 0 - 1 Guadalajara. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 1:2 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Atlas score 1.17 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.75. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlas's matches and 53% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Atlas and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Guadalajara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Atlas vs Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.