Atlas vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Guadalajara demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup, as confirmed by key statistics. The visitors boast an impressive 50% win rate in away matches and better form in their last 5 games (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts). Atlas records a poor shot conversion rate (15%) and a high rate of goals conceded at home (1.54 per match), which, given Guadalajara's defensive solidity (1.29 goals conceded away), poses a serious problem. The visitors also dominate in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and show a better average xG (1.49 vs 1.32), indicating higher quality of created chances. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors Guadalajara (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses vs 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The overall season balance shows that Guadalajara is a higher-class team (15 wins vs 9 for Atlas), which, combined with their solid away results, gives them a real chance of victory in this match.
Atlas vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlas played against Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Atlas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Guadalajara has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlas scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.85. Guadalajara scores 1.59 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Atlas's games and 52% of Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 56%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.13 per game. Atlas takes 10.6 shots per game, while Guadalajara takes 14.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlas leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Guadalajara leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlas's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Guadalajara, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guadalajara demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup, as confirmed by key statistics. The visitors boast an impressive 50% win rate in away matches and better form in their last 5 games (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts). Atlas records a poor shot conversion rate (15%) and a high rate of goals conceded at home (1.54 per match), which, given Guadalajara's defensive solidity (1.29 goals conceded away), poses a serious problem. The visitors also dominate in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and show a better average xG (1.49 vs 1.32), indicating higher quality of created chances. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors Guadalajara (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses vs 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The overall season balance shows that Guadalajara is a higher-class team (15 wins vs 9 for Atlas), which, combined with their solid away results, gives them a real chance of victory in this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guadalajara is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Atlas · 1.8 pts / game - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Atlas · 1.59 goals / game - Guadalajara
Guadalajara is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.85 goals / game - Atlas · 1.22 goals / game - Guadalajara
Atlas scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).
Guadalajara scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlas
Over / Under - Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Atlas · 1.59 pts / game - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlas
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.23 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlas's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Guadalajara. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 1:2 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Atlas score 1.38 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.59. The Liga MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Atlas's matches and 52% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Atlas and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Guadalajara 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Atlas vs Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.