Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and only 5 goals conceded in 10 matches, yielding an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game and an 80% clean sheet rate. However, Once Caldas exhibits excellent overall form, winning 4 of their last 5 fixtures and averaging 2.4 points per game. A key factor is the difference in attacking quality – the hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match (xG 1.51), whereas the visitors score an average of 1.4 goals away (xG 1.23). Bucaramanga's solid defense (xGA 0.73) can neutralize the offensive strengths of Once Caldas, which, combined with their 40% home draw rate and the visitors' 40% away draw rate, suggests an evenly matched clash. Considering all statistics, I predict a draw as the most probable outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to their superb home form.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Bucaramanga played against Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Atlético Bucaramanga has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Once Caldas has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.50. Once Caldas scores 2.00 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Bucaramanga's games and 82% of Once Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 55%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Once Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.31 per game. Atlético Bucaramanga takes 12.4 shots per game, while Once Caldas takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Bucaramanga leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Once Caldas leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.09 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Bucaramanga's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Once Caldas, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and only 5 goals conceded in 10 matches, yielding an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game and an 80% clean sheet rate. However, Once Caldas exhibits excellent overall form, winning 4 of their last 5 fixtures and averaging 2.4 points per game. A key factor is the difference in attacking quality – the hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match (xG 1.51), whereas the visitors score an average of 1.4 goals away (xG 1.23). Bucaramanga's solid defense (xGA 0.73) can neutralize the offensive strengths of Once Caldas, which, combined with their 40% home draw rate and the visitors' 40% away draw rate, suggests an evenly matched clash. Considering all statistics, I predict a draw as the most probable outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to their superb home form.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Once Caldas is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Atlético Bucaramanga · 2.4 pts / game - Once Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Atlético Bucaramanga · 2 goals / game - Once Caldas
Atlético Bucaramanga is 118% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.09 goals / game - Once Caldas
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
Once Caldas scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 meczów), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.64 pts / game - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético BucaramangaSubstitutionOn: Jhon Fredy Salazar ValenciaOff: Enmerson Manuel Batalla Martínez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Bucaramanga's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Once Caldas. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 Once Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and Once Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 0, Once Caldas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.50 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 2.00. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 82% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Once Caldas 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.