Portugal - Liga 3Estádio Da TapadinhaData current as of October 14, 2026

Atlético CP vs Caldas: match statistics

Atlético CP crest
Atlético CP
4 : 1half-time 1:0
Caldas crest
Caldas

Atlético CP vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético CP played against Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estádio Da Tapadinha. Final score: 4:1.

Recent form

Atlético CP has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Caldas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético CP scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 0.60. Caldas scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Atlético CP's games and 20% of Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlético CP has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.21 per game. Atlético CP takes 9.0 shots per game, while Caldas takes 9.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético CP leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Caldas leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético CP's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Caldas, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 3 games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Atlético CP have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, while Caldas have recorded 2 wins and scored 6 goals. At home, the hosts average 2 goals and 7.5 shots on target per match, whereas the visitors average 0.5 goals and 4 shots on target away from home. Atlético also have the edge in chance creation: their home xG is 1.67, while Caldas concede chances worth 1.66 xG on the road. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal at home, while Caldas have failed to score in half of their away matches. The visitors concede just 0.5 goals per game away from home, so they could make things difficult for Atlético, but the hosts’ advantage in finishing and chance volume points to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: Atlético CP kept a clean sheet in 67% of its home matches, while Caldas averaged just 0.5 goals away from home and failed to score in 50% of those matches. BTTS has occurred in 33% of Atlético CP’s home matches and 0% of Caldas’s away matches, further supporting the BTTS - No pick. However, the picture is not entirely clear-cut: both teams scored in 40% of each side’s last 5 matches, and Caldas averaged 1.2 goals over that period. Atlético CP also has clear attacking potential, averaging 2.8 goals in its last 5 matches, while Caldas conceded 1.4. Despite the hosts’ advantage, the bet may hinge on the visitors’ weaker away finishing, making BTTS - No the more likely outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Atlético CP have averaged 2,8 goals over their last 5 matches, but the home side's season average is 1,33, so I don't expect them to maintain such a high scoring rate. Caldas average just 0,5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 50% of those matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Although Atlético CP have gone Over 2,5 goals in 80% of their last 5 matches, all of Caldas' away games so far have finished Under 3,5 goals. With a projected 1,70 goals for the home side and 0,80 for the visitors, the total average is 2,50, making Under 3,5 goals the strongest pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A half-time draw is the most likely opening scenario: Atlético CP have not scored in the first half of any of their three home matches, and two of those were level at the break. After the break, however, the hosts have averaged 1.33 goals at home, while Caldas failed to score in the second half of both of their away matches. Atlético’s recent form also supports a full-time win: four wins and an average of 2.8 goals scored across their last five matches, compared with two wins and an average of 1.2 goals for Caldas. In addition, the hosts average 1.23 xG, while their opponents concede chances worth 1.66 xG, increasing the likelihood of the match being decided after half-time. The X/1 pick is not clear-cut, though, as Atlético led at the break three times in their last five matches, making 1/1 a close alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
3 : 1
Second half

Game stats

52Possession (%)48
Atlético CPCaldas
5Shots4
Atlético CPCaldas
4Shots on target3
Atlético CPCaldas
1.04xG1.02
Atlético CPCaldas
1Corners7
Atlético CPCaldas
59Dangerous attacks75
Atlético CPCaldas
10Fouls10
Atlético CPCaldas
2Cards1
Atlético CPCaldas

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.6Goals scored / game1
Atlético CPCaldas
0.6Goals allowed / game1
Atlético CPCaldas
47%Average possession48%
Atlético CPCaldas
4.8Shots on target / game3.4
Atlético CPCaldas

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9Shots per game9.8
Atlético CPCaldas
4.8Shots on target3.4
Atlético CPCaldas
17.8%Shot conversion10.2%
Atlético CPCaldas
47%Possession48%
Atlético CPCaldas
1.28xG for1.21
Atlético CPCaldas
1.25xG against1.41
Atlético CPCaldas

Shooting quality

Atlético CP: Counter-attackingCaldas: Balanced
Atlético CPCaldas
Accuracy (shots on target)53%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético CP is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Atlético CP · 1.4 pts / game - Caldas

Atlético CP
WDWWL
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Caldas
LDLWW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético CP is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1.6 goals / game - Atlético CP · 1 goals / game - Caldas

Atlético CP is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.6 goals / game - Atlético CP · 1 goals / game - Caldas

Atlético CP scoring profile: mixed

Atlético CP scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

Caldas scoring profile: mixed

Caldas scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

8Goals scored (season)5
Atlético CPCaldas
3Goals conceded (season)5
Atlético CPCaldas
2.2Average goals per game2
Atlético CPCaldas
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Atlético CPCaldas
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético CPCaldas

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
Atlético CPCaldas
40%2 goals40%
Atlético CPCaldas
40%3 goals0%
Atlético CPCaldas
0%4 goals0%
Atlético CPCaldas

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal40%
Atlético CPCaldas
0%2 goals20%
Atlético CPCaldas
0%3 goals20%
Atlético CPCaldas
0%4 goals20%
Atlético CPCaldas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Atlético CPCaldas
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético CPCaldas
20%Scored in both halves0%
Atlético CPCaldas

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Atlético CPCaldas
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Atlético CPCaldas
40%BTTS - last 520%
Atlético CPCaldas

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Atlético CPCaldas
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Atlético CPCaldas
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Atlético CPCaldas

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time40%
Atlético CPCaldas
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Atlético CPCaldas
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Atlético CPCaldas

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético CP is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / game - Atlético CP · 1 pts / game - Caldas

Atlético CP - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Caldas - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per game (1st half)1
Atlético CPCaldas
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Atlético CPCaldas
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Atlético CPCaldas
1Average goals (1st half)0.6
Atlético CPCaldas
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Atlético CPCaldas
40%No goal before half-time80%
Atlético CPCaldas

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)1.2
Atlético CPCaldas
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Atlético CPCaldas
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Atlético CPCaldas
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Atlético CPCaldas
60%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Atlético CPCaldas
60%No goal after half-time60%
Atlético CPCaldas

Atlético CP - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Caldas - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético CP - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Caldas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético CP
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Caldas
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético CP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.97
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Caldas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

Atlético CPLigaCaldas
Average goals per game▼ 2.202.40▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 40%46%▼ 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%46%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 40%33%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%67%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%68%▼ 40%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CaldasYellow cardMatheus Santos Palmério
  2. Atlético CPYellow cardEdgar Patrício Franco Pacheco
  3. Atlético CPSubstitutionOn: Nicolas Cristian de SouzaOff: Edgar Patrício Franco Pacheco

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético CP's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Caldas. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Atlético CP vs Caldas?

The Liga 3 match finished Atlético CP 4:1 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético CP and Caldas?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 4, Caldas won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético CP vs Caldas?

Atlético CP score 1.60 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético CP's matches and 20% of Caldas's.

What form are Atlético CP and Caldas in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético CP have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético CP vs Caldas?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.