Atlético CP vs Caldas: match statistics
Atlético CP vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético CP played against Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estádio Da Tapadinha. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Atlético CP has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Caldas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético CP scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 0.60. Caldas scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Atlético CP's games and 20% of Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético CP has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.21 per game. Atlético CP takes 9.0 shots per game, while Caldas takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético CP leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Caldas leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético CP's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Caldas, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético CP have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, while Caldas have recorded 2 wins and scored 6 goals. At home, the hosts average 2 goals and 7.5 shots on target per match, whereas the visitors average 0.5 goals and 4 shots on target away from home. Atlético also have the edge in chance creation: their home xG is 1.67, while Caldas concede chances worth 1.66 xG on the road. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal at home, while Caldas have failed to score in half of their away matches. The visitors concede just 0.5 goals per game away from home, so they could make things difficult for Atlético, but the hosts’ advantage in finishing and chance volume points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: Atlético CP kept a clean sheet in 67% of its home matches, while Caldas averaged just 0.5 goals away from home and failed to score in 50% of those matches. BTTS has occurred in 33% of Atlético CP’s home matches and 0% of Caldas’s away matches, further supporting the BTTS - No pick. However, the picture is not entirely clear-cut: both teams scored in 40% of each side’s last 5 matches, and Caldas averaged 1.2 goals over that period. Atlético CP also has clear attacking potential, averaging 2.8 goals in its last 5 matches, while Caldas conceded 1.4. Despite the hosts’ advantage, the bet may hinge on the visitors’ weaker away finishing, making BTTS - No the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético CP have averaged 2,8 goals over their last 5 matches, but the home side's season average is 1,33, so I don't expect them to maintain such a high scoring rate. Caldas average just 0,5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 50% of those matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Although Atlético CP have gone Over 2,5 goals in 80% of their last 5 matches, all of Caldas' away games so far have finished Under 3,5 goals. With a projected 1,70 goals for the home side and 0,80 for the visitors, the total average is 2,50, making Under 3,5 goals the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely opening scenario: Atlético CP have not scored in the first half of any of their three home matches, and two of those were level at the break. After the break, however, the hosts have averaged 1.33 goals at home, while Caldas failed to score in the second half of both of their away matches. Atlético’s recent form also supports a full-time win: four wins and an average of 2.8 goals scored across their last five matches, compared with two wins and an average of 1.2 goals for Caldas. In addition, the hosts average 1.23 xG, while their opponents concede chances worth 1.66 xG, increasing the likelihood of the match being decided after half-time. The X/1 pick is not clear-cut, though, as Atlético led at the break three times in their last five matches, making 1/1 a close alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético CP | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético CP is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Atlético CP · 1.4 pts / game - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético CP is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Atlético CP · 1 goals / game - Caldas
Atlético CP is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Atlético CP · 1 goals / game - Caldas
Atlético CP scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).
Caldas scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético CP
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Atlético CP · 1 pts / game - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético CP
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Atlético CP | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.20 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético CPYellow cardEdgar Patrício Franco Pacheco
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético CP's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Caldas. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético CP vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Atlético CP 4:1 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético CP and Caldas?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 4, Caldas won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético CP vs Caldas?
Atlético CP score 1.60 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético CP's matches and 20% of Caldas's.
What form are Atlético CP and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético CP have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético CP vs Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


