Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: match statistics
Atlético Madrid displays impressive home form with an 85% win rate and a goal difference of +20, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match while conceding just 0.77, which attests to their defensive solidity and offensive effectiveness. Real Sociedad has trouble on the road—only 23% wins and a negative goal difference of -4, with an average of 1.08 scored and 1.38 conceded per away match. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.94 vs 1.48), and Atlético's 46% clean sheet rate in home matches further strengthens their position. Considering all these factors, a victory for Atlético Madrid is the most likely scenario, although Real Sociedad, in good form over their last five matches (2 PPG), may put up resistance, keeping a draw in play as well.
Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Madrid played against Real Sociedad in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Atlético Madrid has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Real Sociedad has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Madrid scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 0.88. Real Sociedad scores 1.46 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Atlético Madrid's games and 81% of Real Sociedad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 58%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Madrid has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.50 per game. Atlético Madrid takes 13.2 shots per game, while Real Sociedad takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Madrid leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Real Sociedad leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Madrid's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Real Sociedad, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Madrid displays impressive home form with an 85% win rate and a goal difference of +20, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match while conceding just 0.77, which attests to their defensive solidity and offensive effectiveness. Real Sociedad has trouble on the road—only 23% wins and a negative goal difference of -4, with an average of 1.08 scored and 1.38 conceded per away match. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.94 vs 1.48), and Atlético's 46% clean sheet rate in home matches further strengthens their position. Considering all these factors, a victory for Atlético Madrid is the most likely scenario, although Real Sociedad, in good form over their last five matches (2 PPG), may put up resistance, keeping a draw in play as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Madrid | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Sociedad is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Atlético Madrid · 1.6 pts / game - Real Sociedad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Madrid is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - Atlético Madrid · 1.46 goals / game - Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Atlético Madrid · 1.46 goals / game - Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 meczów).
Real Sociedad scores in 88% of games (23 of 26 meczów), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Madrid
Over / Under - Real Sociedad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Madrid is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / game - Atlético Madrid · 1.38 pts / game - Real Sociedad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Madrid | Liga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.54 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 25% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Madrid's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Real Sociedad. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
The La Liga match finished Atlético Madrid 3:2 Real Sociedad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Atlético Madrid score 1.65 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad 1.46. The La Liga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Atlético Madrid's matches and 81% of Real Sociedad's.
What form are Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Madrid have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Real Sociedad 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.