Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo: match statistics
Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro play Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Flamengo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Flamengo scores 1.82 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 42%, Flamengo 47%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 42%, Flamengo 65%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.45. Atlético Mineiro: 13.6 shots per match, Flamengo: 14.8.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53. Flamengo: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). Flamengo: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Flamengo is the favorite in this match — they have won 5 of their last 5 games and scored 12 goals in those five matches, while Atlético Mineiro has 2 wins in the last 5 and only 5 goals. Over the season Flamengo has 20 goals scored and 10 conceded, and Atlético 14 scored and 15 conceded, meaning the visitors have 6 more goals scored and 5 fewer conceded. Atlético at home is solid: in their last 5 home matches they have form ddwww (3 wins, 2 draws), average 1.8 goals per game, 4.4 shots on target per match and no match without a goal (FTS 0%). Flamengo arrive in clear form (3.0 points per game in their last five), with a 12–3 goal record in that period and an average away xG of 1.3 versus Atlético’s home xG of 1.39, indicating the visitors’ qualitative and finishing superiority. Considering Flamengo’s better form, superior goal difference and defensive stability, I assign a 62% probability to the visitors winning, 22% to a draw and 16% to the home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.82 goals / match - Flamengo
Flamengo is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 0.94 goals / match - Flamengo
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Flamengo scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under — Flamengo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.82 pts / match - Flamengo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
Flamengo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Mineiro 0 - 1 - 1 Flamengo. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 0:4 Flamengo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Flamengo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, Flamengo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.21 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.82. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 47% of Flamengo's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Flamengo in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Flamengo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.