Atlético Mineiro vs Santos: match statistics
Atlético Mineiro vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Mineiro played against Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Arena MRV. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Atlético Mineiro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Santos has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.34 goals per game and allows 1.17. Santos scores 1.55 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's games and 72% of Santos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 66%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Mineiro has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.44 per game. Atlético Mineiro takes 13.4 shots per game, while Santos takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Santos leads at halftime in 34% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Mineiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Santos, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Mineiro have a clear home advantage: they have won 57% of their home matches, while Santos have won 36% of their away games. At home, the hosts average 15.29 shots and generate an xG of 1.68, compared with Santos’ 12.64 shots and 1.34 xG away from home, pointing to a higher volume and quality of chances for Atlético. The defensive gap is also significant: Atlético concede an average of 1.14 goals at home, while Santos concede 1.64 away. The visitors remain dangerous, however, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 10 goals in that run, while the hosts have recorded 3 wins and scored 9. Despite Santos’ stronger recent form, Atlético’s home record and the visitors’ weaker defense point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams frequently feature in matches with goals at both ends: Atlético Mineiro have seen this outcome in 64% of their matches, and Santos in 79%, compared with a league average of 59%. Santos average 1.64 goals scored per match and Atlético 1.43; they also concede 1.64 and 1.29 goals respectively, creating opportunities for both attacks. Over their last 5 matches, the home side averaged 1.8 goals and the visitors 2.0, while both teams scored in 60% and 80% of those matches respectively. In addition, Atlético generate an average of 1.53 xG, against 1.70 xG conceded by Santos, making a home goal particularly likely. Since both sides have kept a clean sheet in only 21% of their matches, it is more likely that each team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 93% of Atlético Mineiro matches and 86% of Santos matches, giving this line stronger support than the higher goal lines. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.64; Atlético’s xG of 1.53 also compares favorably with the 1.70 xG of chances Santos allow. Santos average 1.64 goals scored and have averaged 2.0 goals across their last five matches, so they could also contribute to the total. An estimated total of 3.0 goals points towards the Over, but the gap between Atlético’s rate of matches with Over 2.5 goals (50%) and Santos’ (79%) makes that line less reliable. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Santos were level at half-time in 8 of 14 matches (57%) and were trailing in only 2 (14%), making a draw at the break more likely than Atlético Mineiro taking an early lead. After half-time, the advantage could shift to the hosts: Santos concede an average of 1.21 goals in the second half, compared with 0.64 for Atlético. The case for a home win is also supported by their higher average xG (1.53 versus 1.34 for the visitors) and the higher xG of chances Santos allow: 1.70, compared with 1.22 for Atlético. Santos have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Atlético have won 3, so the X/1 pick is not a safe one. However, the combination of the visitors’ frequent half-time draws and their weaker second-half defending provides the strongest rationale for it.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Santos is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 2.6 pts / game - Santos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santos is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.34 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.55 goals / game - Santos
Atlético Mineiro is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.48 goals / game - Santos
Atlético Mineiro scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 games), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 games).
Santos scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 games), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - Santos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.48 pts / game - Santos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Santos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Mineiro
Santos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Santos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.52 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Mineiro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Santos. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 2:1 Santos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Santos?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, Santos won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.34 goals per game on average and Santos 1.55. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 72% of Santos's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Santos in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Santos 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Mineiro vs Santos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.