Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo: match statistics
São Paulo is in excellent form, occupying first place in the table with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Their form in the last five matches (WWLWW) and points per game (2.4 PPG) significantly surpass those of Atlético Mineiro. The hosts are only in 16th place with just one win this season and are in poor form (LDLWL). São Paulo has a 67% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per game, which indicates a solid defense. Atlético Mineiro concedes an average of 1.67 goals in home matches, which, combined with their poor form, makes them vulnerable to defeat. xG analysis also favors the visitors, who have better shooting efficiency and control of the game.
Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Mineiro played against São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 18, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Atlético Mineiro has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. São Paulo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.67. São Paulo scores 1.67 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Mineiro's games and 50% of São Paulo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 33%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Mineiro has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.23 per game. Atlético Mineiro takes 11.8 shots per game, while São Paulo takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. São Paulo leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Mineiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For São Paulo, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
São Paulo is in excellent form, occupying first place in the table with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Their form in the last five matches (WWLWW) and points per game (2.4 PPG) significantly surpass those of Atlético Mineiro. The hosts are only in 16th place with just one win this season and are in poor form (LDLWL). São Paulo has a 67% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per game, which indicates a solid defense. Atlético Mineiro concedes an average of 1.67 goals in home matches, which, combined with their poor form, makes them vulnerable to defeat. xG analysis also favors the visitors, who have better shooting efficiency and control of the game.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
São Paulo is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 2.6 pts / game - São Paulo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Paulo is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.67 goals / game - São Paulo
São Paulo is 234% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 0.5 goals / game - São Paulo
Atlético Mineiro scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
São Paulo scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.83 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 19% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Mineiro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against São Paulo. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 1:0 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, São Paulo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.17 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 50% of São Paulo's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and São Paulo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?
The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.