Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera: match statistics
Atlético Nacional displays dominant form at their home stadium with a 100% win rate in home matches (3 wins in 3 games) and an impressive goal ratio of 10:3. The hosts score an average of 3.33 goals per home game, boasting a high conversion rate (15% shot conversion) and an advantage in ball possession (54%). Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), failing to score a single goal away and conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors' form is disastrous - a series of three consecutive away defeats and a goal difference of -8 in away matches. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (2.29 vs 0.87) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. Considering all the data, the probability of a draw is minimal, and the visitors' chances of gaining points are practically zero.
Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Nacional played against Alianza Petrolera in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Atlético Nacional has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.25 points per game. Alianza Petrolera has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Nacional scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 0.75. Alianza Petrolera scores 0.50 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Nacional's games and 50% of Alianza Petrolera's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 17%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 2.11 to 1.20 per game. Atlético Nacional takes 20.0 shots per game, while Alianza Petrolera takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.75 goals per game after halftime. Alianza Petrolera leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Alianza Petrolera, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional displays dominant form at their home stadium with a 100% win rate in home matches (3 wins in 3 games) and an impressive goal ratio of 10:3. The hosts score an average of 3.33 goals per home game, boasting a high conversion rate (15% shot conversion) and an advantage in ball possession (54%). Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), failing to score a single goal away and conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors' form is disastrous - a series of three consecutive away defeats and a goal difference of -8 in away matches. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (2.29 vs 0.87) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. Considering all the data, the probability of a draw is minimal, and the visitors' chances of gaining points are practically zero.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 275% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 pts / game - Alianza Petrolera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 400% better for: goals scored per game.
2.5 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.5 goals / game - Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional is 144% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.83 goals / game - Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Alianza Petrolera keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
Alianza Petrolera scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Alianza Petrolera
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.83 pts / game - Alianza Petrolera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Alianza Petrolera - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Nacional
Alianza Petrolera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 49% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Alianza Petrolera. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 3:0 Alianza Petrolera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Alianza Petrolera?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Alianza Petrolera won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Atlético Nacional score 2.50 goals per game on average and Alianza Petrolera 0.50. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 50% of Alianza Petrolera's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Alianza Petrolera in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Alianza Petrolera 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.