Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali: match statistics
Atlético Nacional is showing impressive form in home matches with a 100% win rate and an average of 4 goals per game, confirming their offensive dominance in front of their own fans. The xG statistics clearly favor the hosts (2.53 xG For vs 0.94 xG Against), indicating a superior ability to create scoring chances. While América de Cali boasts a solid away record (100% wins), their significantly lower offensive metrics (averaging 1 goal per away match, xG 0.89) and lower shot volume (8 vs 25) suggest they will face difficulties against such a strong rival. The recent form of both teams is variable, but Atlético's home advantage, combined with significantly better shooting stats and possession (60% vs 51%), points towards a home win. I expect a tight start to the match, but the quality of the hosts' attack should eventually tip the scales in their favor.
Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play América de Cali in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 5 February 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. América de Cali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. América de Cali scores 1.24 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, América de Cali 38%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, América de Cali 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.48. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, América de Cali: 13.6.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36. América de Cali: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). América de Cali: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Atlético Nacional is showing impressive form in home matches with a 100% win rate and an average of 4 goals per game, confirming their offensive dominance in front of their own fans. The xG statistics clearly favor the hosts (2.53 xG For vs 0.94 xG Against), indicating a superior ability to create scoring chances. While América de Cali boasts a solid away record (100% wins), their significantly lower offensive metrics (averaging 1 goal per away match, xG 0.89) and lower shot volume (8 vs 25) suggest they will face difficulties against such a strong rival. The recent form of both teams is variable, but Atlético's home advantage, combined with significantly better shooting stats and possession (60% vs 51%), points towards a home win. I expect a tight start to the match, but the quality of the hosts' attack should eventually tip the scales in their favor.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | América de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - América de Cali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.24 goals / match - América de Cali
Atlético Nacional is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.95 goals / match - América de Cali
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while América de Cali keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
América de Cali scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — América de Cali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
América de Cali is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.62 pts / match - América de Cali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
América de Cali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
América de Cali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | América de Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlético Nacional 2 - 1 - 1 América de Cali. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 2:1 América de Cali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and América de Cali?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, América de Cali won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali?
Atlético Nacional score 1.96 goals per game on average and América de Cali 1.24. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 38% of América de Cali's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and América de Cali in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and América de Cali 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.