Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Atlético Bucaramanga in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 03:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Atlético Bucaramanga: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.37 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Atlético Bucaramanga 47%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Atlético Bucaramanga 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.41. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Atlético Bucaramanga: 13.3.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36. Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atlético Nacional holds a clear advantage and I project them to win. At home they win 88% of matches, average 2.5 goals scored per game, concede only 0.38 goals and have a home goal difference of +17 with 63% of matches kept clean sheets. Offensively the hosts generate on average 1.96 xG at home and 7.13 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 13%, whereas Atlético Bucaramanga on the road posts 1.25 xG, an average of 3.75 shots on target and only a 6% conversion, translating to 0.75 goals per away match. Bucaramanga arrives on a run of 4 defeats and 1 win in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 points in that period, and half of their away games end with them failing to score (50%), indicating problems with chance creation and finishing. Considering the superiority in shot efficiency (13% vs 6%), better home xG (1.96 vs 1.25) and the form gap (Nacional 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 vs Bucaramanga 1 win and 4 losses), I assess the probabilities as roughly 80% for a home win, 12% draw and 8% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.37 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Nacional is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.05 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — Atlético Bucaramanga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.16 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Atlético Bucaramanga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Nacional 0 - 0 - 2 Atlético Bucaramanga. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 2:0 Atlético Bucaramanga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Atlético Bucaramanga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 0, Atlético Bucaramanga won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Atlético Nacional score 1.96 goals per game on average and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 47% of Atlético Bucaramanga's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Atlético Bucaramanga in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Atlético Bucaramanga 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.