Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Atanasio GirardotData current as of October 14, 2026

Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Nacional plays Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Recent form

Atlético Nacional has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Deportivo Pasto has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Nacional scores 1.94 goals per game and allows 0.86. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.15 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Nacional's games and 48% of Deportivo Pasto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.28 per game. Atlético Nacional takes 16.7 shots per game, while Deportivo Pasto takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 1.22 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Pasto leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). For Deportivo Pasto, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Categoria Primera A games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.18)
(6.25)
(13.40)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
1.94Goals scored / game1.15
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
0.86Goals allowed / game1.39
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
58%Average possession53%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
6.28Shots on target / game3.58
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.72Shots per game11.88
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
6.28Shots on target3.58
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
11.6%Shot conversion9.7%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
58%Possession53%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
1.77xG for1.28
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
1.22xG against1.32
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

Shooting quality

Atlético Nacional: DominantDeportivo Pasto: Balanced
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Accuracy (shots on target)38%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético Nacional
WLDWD
Season result split
69% W8% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
25-3-8
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +39
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Pasto
DWWLD
Season result split
36% W21% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-14
1.30 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-7
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 69% better for: goals scored per game.

1.94 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.15 goals / game - Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Nacional is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.86 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.39 goals / game - Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 games), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 games).

Deportivo Pasto scoring profile: strong

Deportivo Pasto scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 games), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 games).

70Goals scored (season)38
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
31Goals conceded (season)46
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
2.81Average goals per game2.55
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
7Goals scored (last 5)4
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal70%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
64%2 goals36%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
33%3 goals9%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
14%4 goals0%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal70%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
14%2 goals48%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
6%3 goals15%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
0%4 goals6%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 36 games
55%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time27%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
44%Scored in both halves24%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
60%BTTS - last 520%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.21 pts / game - Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Nacional - half-time state
31% leading50% draw19% trailing
Deportivo Pasto - half-time state
24% leading48% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per game (1st half)1.21
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.21
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
53%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
50%No goal before half-time52%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

After half-time (2nd half)

2.11Points per game (2nd half)1.15
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
72%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto
33%No goal after half-time55%
Atlético NacionalDeportivo Pasto

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

64% W19% D17% L
51
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+33
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding223%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 69%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Deportivo Pasto - second-half results

24% W42% D33% L
40
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Deportivo Pasto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.00
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
8
8
0-15
7
5
16-30
11
7
31-45
11
6
46-60
15
2
61-75
18
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Pasto
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
8
9
16-30
6
8
31-45
5
5
46-60
1
13
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Deportivo Pasto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Atlético NacionalLigaDeportivo Pasto
Average goals per game▲ 2.812.55• 2.55
Both teams scored▼ 44%55%▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 61%48%• 48%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 69%67%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%78%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Nacional's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Deportivo Pasto. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Deportivo Pasto
1 : 2
Atlético Nacional
AD Pasto
2 : 2
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
3 : 0
AD Pasto

FAQ

When do Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto play?

Atlético Nacional face Deportivo Pasto on October 23, 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, Deportivo Pasto won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?

Atlético Nacional score 1.94 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.15. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 48% of Deportivo Pasto's.

What form are Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.