Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Atlético Nacional presents significantly better home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive goal difference of 6:1. The hosts demonstrate high offensive efficiency, averaging 3 goals per match with 10.5 shots on target and an xG level of 2.53. Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away matches, drawing them all (100% draws), with very poor offensive efficiency – just 0.5 goals per match and 50% of matches without scoring. The difference in xG quality (2.53 vs 1.62) and form (ww vs dd) clearly favors the hosts. Atlético should control the match thanks to a solid defense (0.5 goals conceded on average at home) and offensive advantage, making a home win the most likely scenario.
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Nacional played against Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on February 13, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Atlético Nacional has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Fortaleza CEIF has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Nacional scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Fortaleza CEIF scores 0.80 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Nacional's games and 60% of Fortaleza CEIF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 0%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 2.53 to 1.60 per game. Atlético Nacional takes 24.5 shots per game, while Fortaleza CEIF takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Fortaleza CEIF leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Fortaleza CEIF, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional presents significantly better home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive goal difference of 6:1. The hosts demonstrate high offensive efficiency, averaging 3 goals per match with 10.5 shots on target and an xG level of 2.53. Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away matches, drawing them all (100% draws), with very poor offensive efficiency – just 0.5 goals per match and 50% of matches without scoring. The difference in xG quality (2.53 vs 1.62) and form (ww vs dd) clearly favors the hosts. Atlético should control the match thanks to a solid defense (0.5 goals conceded on average at home) and offensive advantage, making a home win the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 275% better for: goals scored per game.
3 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.8 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Nacional
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 46% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Fortaleza CEIF. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 4:1 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Nacional score 3.00 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 0.80. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 60% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.