Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Nacional played against Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on December 4, 2025. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Atlético Nacional has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Independiente Medellín has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Nacional scores 1.66 goals per game and allows 1.06. Independiente Medellín scores 1.48 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Atlético Nacional's games and 50% of Independiente Medellín's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 40%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.68 per game. Atlético Nacional takes 16.2 shots per game, while Independiente Medellín takes 15.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (21 goals). For Independiente Medellín, it is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.30 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.66 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.48 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.94 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Atlético Nacional scores in 80% of games (40 of 50 meczów), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 38% (20 of 52 meczów).
Independiente Medellín scores in 77% of games (40 of 52 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 34% (17 of 50 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.35 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Nacional
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.72 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 34% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses against Independiente Medellín. Games average 3.40 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 2:1 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Independiente Medellín won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional score 1.66 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.48. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 50% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.